L’École des cotes

Juve Stabia v Monza

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 18:00 UTC

Score final : Juve Stabia 2–2 Monza

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Juve Stabia (Local)

Prévision 31.82%3.14cote équitable
EV -0.097%
Avantage -0.031%
Kelly -0.045%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.88%31.74%31.82%32.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.922.923.1437.04%34.24%34.25%31.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Monza (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.33%2.75cote équitable
EV -3.35%
Avantage -1.26%
Kelly -2.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.48%36.36%36.29%38.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.512.502.6643.48%39.78%40.00%37.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.85%3.14cote équitable
EV -1.27%
Avantage -0.409%
Kelly -0.603%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.57%31.90%31.89%33.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.862.853.1038.02%34.98%35.09%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.14I 31.85%NM 30.82%EV -0.097%E -0.031%K -0.045%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.38%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.02%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-16 17:55
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -1.37%E -0.442%K -0.652%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.27%EV -9.89%E -3.99%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -2.86%E -0.937%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 17:55
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.37%E -0.442%K -0.652%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 17:44
Marathon Bet3.06I 32.68%NM 31.46%EV -2.64%E -0.863%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.88%EV -5.17%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.66%EV -3.18%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-16 17:50
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -2.96%E -0.971%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.29%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -8.27%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 17:45
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -2.96%E -0.971%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.29%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -8.27%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 17:45
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-16 17:50
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -8.27%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 17:30
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -8.27%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 17:30
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.31%EV -7.71%E -3.04%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 17:53
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.31%EV -7.71%E -3.04%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 17:55
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 17:30
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 17:30
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 17:30
TABtouch3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 17:30
Grosvenor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 17:30
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 17:30
Casumo3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 17:30
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 17:30
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 17:45
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.40%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.76%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.83%EV -1.27%E -0.409%K -0.603%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-16 17:55
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 17:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 17:30
LiveScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.68%EV -9.89%E -3.99%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 17:30
Virgin Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.68%EV -9.89%E -3.99%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-16 17:30
LeoVegas2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -10.98%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-16 17:30
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -7.10%E -2.43%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.26%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -7.00%E -2.40%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 17:50
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -7.10%E -2.43%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.26%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -7.00%E -2.40%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-16 17:50
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 17:40
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 17:39
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 17:45
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 17:40
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 17:40
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 17:45
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -14.01%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 17:45
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -7.64%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 16:55
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -7.64%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -16.43%E -7.14%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -16.24%E -6.17%K -9.96%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-16 17:45
PointsBet (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 17:00
theScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 17:00
PMU (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -12.80%E -5.33%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -14.01%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-16 17:30
Betclic (FR)2.83I 35.34%NM 31.60%EV -9.96%E -3.52%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.80%EV -11.71%E -4.82%K -8.19%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 31.60%EV -9.87%E -3.49%K -5.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-16 17:48
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 17:00
betfred_uk2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 17:55
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 17:50
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.64%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 17:50
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -14.61%E -6.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 17:50
Coral2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 16:55
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 16:54
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-16 17:35
NetBet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.91%EV -14.61%E -6.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000%15.3%2026-05-16 17:45
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -14.10%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -12.80%E -5.33%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-16 17:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.22%0.3%2026-05-16 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.22%0.3%2026-05-16 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.22%0.3%2026-05-16 17:40
Matchbook3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67%2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.22%0.3%2026-05-16 17:40
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.11%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98%1.1%2026-05-16 17:40