La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Juve Stabia v Monza
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Juve Stabia (Local)
Predicción 31.82%3.14momio equitativo
EV -0.097%
Ventaja -0.031%
Kelly -0.045%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.14
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.88%31.74%31.82%32.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.922.923.1437.04%34.24%34.25%31.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Monza (Visitante)
Predicción 36.33%2.75momio equitativo
EV -3.35%
Ventaja -1.26%
Kelly -2.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.48%36.36%36.29%38.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.512.502.6643.48%39.78%40.00%37.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.85%3.14momio equitativo
EV -1.27%
Ventaja -0.409%
Kelly -0.603%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.57%31.90%31.89%33.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.862.853.1038.02%34.98%35.09%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.82%EV -0.097%E -0.031%K -0.045%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.38%EV -3.35%E -1.26%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.80%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-16 17:55 |
| 1xBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.61%EV -1.37%E -0.442%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.27%EV -9.89%E -3.99%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.12%EV -2.86%E -0.937%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 17:55 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.37%E -0.442%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 17:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.46%EV -2.64%E -0.863%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.88%EV -5.17%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.66%EV -3.18%E -1.05%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -2.96%E -0.971%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.29%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -8.27%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -2.96%E -0.971%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.29%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -8.27%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.54%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.39%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.07%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -8.27%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.37%EV -8.27%E -2.87%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.31%EV -7.71%E -3.04%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 17:53 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.31%EV -7.71%E -3.04%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.94%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 17:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| BetRivers | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| TABtouch | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| Grosvenor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| Casumo | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| betPARX | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -4.55%E -1.52%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.40%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.76%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.83%EV -1.27%E -0.409%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-16 17:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.68%EV -9.89%E -3.99%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.83%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.68%EV -9.89%E -3.99%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.49%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.70%EV -6.14%E -2.08%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.96%EV -10.98%E -4.48%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| Betsson | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -7.10%E -2.43%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.26%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -7.00%E -2.40%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -7.10%E -2.43%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.14%EV -6.26%E -2.43%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -7.00%E -2.40%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Betway | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 17:40 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 17:39 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 17:40 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 17:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -7.73%E -2.67%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -14.01%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.25%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.72%EV -5.53%E -2.13%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -7.64%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Bet Victor | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -7.64%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -8.37%E -2.91%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -16.43%E -7.14%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -16.24%E -6.17%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| theScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.43%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.24%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.33%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -9.32%E -3.27%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -12.80%E -5.33%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -14.01%E -5.19%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-16 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.60%EV -9.96%E -3.52%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.80%EV -11.71%E -4.82%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.60%EV -9.87%E -3.49%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-05-16 17:48 |
| Bet Right | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -7.35%E -2.88%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 17:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -4.45%E -1.48%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 17:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.58%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.49%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -6.04%E -2.05%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.64%E -2.63%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -10.91%E -3.90%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -14.61%E -6.22%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
| Coral | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 16:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 16:55 |
| Neds | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.82%E -3.86%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 16:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -9.16%E -3.67%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-16 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -12.51%E -4.55%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.91%EV -14.61%E -6.22%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.54%EV -12.41%E -4.51%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-05-16 17:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.55%EV -14.10%E -5.22%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.62%EV -12.80%E -5.33%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.84%EV -9.23%E -3.24%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-16 17:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.22% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.22% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.22% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 17:40 |
| Matchbook | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.67% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.22% | 0.3% | 2026-05-16 17:40 |
| Smarkets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.11% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.98% | 1.1% | 2026-05-16 17:40 |