The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hellas Verona v Cesena FC

2026-11-20 19:30 UTC — Serie B - Italy

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hellas Verona (Local)

Prediction 55.39%1.81fair odd
EV -3.62%
Edge -2.08%
Kelly -4.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.90%55.39%55.36%56.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.641.681.7468.03%60.95%59.52%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Cesena FC (Visit)

Prediction 19.30%5.18fair odd
EV +0.355%
Edge +0.068%
Kelly +0.085%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.12%19.20%19.47%21.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.304.664.605.2023.26%21.45%21.74%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.31%3.95fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -0.866%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.09%25.41%25.17%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.593.583.8230.30%27.86%27.97%26.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hellas Verona (Local): 55.39%; Cesena FC (Visit): 19.30%; Draw: 25.31%. For Cesena FC (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.18. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.20, producing a positive expected value of +0.355%.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.76%EV -8.06%E -4.85%K -12.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +0.355%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-09 15:45
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.71%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.43%EV -5.43%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.87%EV -6.85%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-09 15:00
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -10.27%E -6.34%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -5.43%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-09 13:59
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -10.27%E -6.34%K -16.57%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -5.43%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-09 14:00
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -5.29%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -8.33%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-09 15:50
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.22%E -2.44%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-09 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.22%E -2.44%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-09 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.22%E -2.44%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-09 14:20
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.22%E -2.44%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-09 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.30%EV -15.26%E -9.97%K -28.78%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.73%EV -11.22%E -2.44%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.97%EV -12.67%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000%16.1%2026-11-09 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.37%EV -13.59%E -8.71%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -13.15%E -2.92%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-09 14:00
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.37%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.16%EV -14.70%E -3.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.48%EV -3.31%E -0.866%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-09 14:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 56.19%EV -18.58%E -12.64%K -39.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 18.77%EV -15.08%E -3.43%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.03%EV -16.47%E -4.99%K -7.16%G +0.000%21.1%2026-11-09 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.61%EV -14.70%E -9.55%K -27.23%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.92%EV -17.01%E -3.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%16.8%2026-11-09 13:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.