默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hellas Verona v Cesena FC

2026-11-20 19:30 UTC — Serie B - Italy

胜负盘

14 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

55%

19%

25%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hellas Verona (主队)

预测 55.39%1.81公平赔率

EV -3.62%

优势 -2.08%

Kelly -4.90%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.74

博彩公司预测分布

53.90%55.39%55.36%56.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.471.641.681.7468.03%60.95%59.52%57.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

Cesena FC (客队)

预测 19.30%5.18公平赔率

EV +0.355%

优势 +0.068%

Kelly +0.085%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 5.20

博彩公司预测分布

18.12%19.20%19.47%21.16%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

4.304.664.605.2023.26%21.45%21.74%19.23%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 25.31%3.95公平赔率

EV -3.31%

优势 -0.866%

Kelly -1.17%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.82

博彩公司预测分布

24.09%25.41%25.17%26.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

3.303.593.583.8230.30%27.86%27.97%26.18%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Hellas Verona (主队)：55.39%；Cesena FC (客队)：19.30%；平局：25.31%。对于“Cesena FC (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.18。有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为5.20，由此产生+0.355%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (14 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	平局	利润率	更新时间
Codere (IT)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 56.76%EV -8.06%E -4.85%K -12.20%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 18.12%EV +0.355%E +0.068%K +0.085%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.08%E -1.35%K -1.85%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-09 15:45
Pinnacle🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.71%EV -3.62%E -2.08%K -4.90%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.43%EV -5.43%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%	3.68I 27.17%NM 25.87%EV -6.85%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-09 15:00
NordicBet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -10.27%E -6.34%K -16.57%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -5.43%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-11-09 13:59
Betsson🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 56.36%EV -10.27%E -6.34%K -16.57%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -5.43%E -1.11%K -1.39%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%	9.5%	2026-11-09 14:00
Fanatics🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.25%EV -5.29%E -3.09%K -7.44%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -8.33%E -1.75%K -2.22%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -3.81%E -1.00%K -1.36%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-09 15:50
888sport🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.22%E -2.44%K -3.12%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-11-09 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.22%E -2.44%K -3.12%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-11-09 14:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.22%E -2.44%K -3.12%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-11-09 14:20
William Hill🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -5.84%E -3.44%K -8.34%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -11.22%E -2.44%K -3.12%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-11-09 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 56.30%EV -15.26%E -9.97%K -28.78%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 18.73%EV -11.22%E -2.44%K -3.12%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 24.97%EV -12.67%E -3.67%K -5.17%G +0.000%	16.1%	2026-11-09 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 56.37%EV -13.59%E -8.71%K -24.27%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -13.15%E -2.92%K -3.76%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -7.61%E -2.08%K -2.87%G +0.000%	13.7%	2026-11-09 14:00
1xBet🎯	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.37%EV -4.73%E -2.75%K -6.57%G +0.000%	4.42I 22.62%NM 21.16%EV -14.70%E -3.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%	3.82I 26.18%NM 24.48%EV -3.31%E -0.866%K -1.17%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-09 14:35
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 56.19%EV -18.58%E -12.64%K -39.53%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 18.77%EV -15.08%E -3.43%K -4.44%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 25.03%EV -16.47%E -4.99%K -7.16%G +0.000%	21.1%	2026-11-09 14:00
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 55.61%EV -14.70%E -9.55%K -27.23%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 19.92%EV -17.01%E -3.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 24.47%EV -11.41%E -3.26%K -4.56%G +0.000%	16.8%	2026-11-09 13:59

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。