Language:English
Frosinone v Pescara
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Frosinone (Local)
Prediction 62.49%1.60fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -2.45%
Kelly -6.98%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.89%62.44%62.43%63.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.471.481.5475.76%67.86%67.34%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Pescara (Visit)
Prediction 16.88%5.93fair odd
EV +1.10%
Edge +0.183%
Kelly +0.220%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 5.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.95%16.93%16.91%18.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.375.305.9920.83%18.61%18.87%16.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 20.64%4.85fair odd
EV -0.951%
Edge -0.198%
Kelly -0.250%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.88%20.63%20.66%21.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.404.404.8025.00%22.72%22.73%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Frosinone (Local): 62.49%; Pescara (Visit): 16.88%; Draw: 20.64%. For Pescara (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.10%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -3.77%E -2.45%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 5.99I 16.69%NM 16.08%EV +1.10%E +0.183%K +0.220%G +0.002% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -0.422%E -0.072%K -0.086%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.08%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.11%E -0.364%K -0.440%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -6.11%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 18:58 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.95%E -0.514%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.98%E -0.417%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.95%E -0.514%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.98%E -0.417%K -0.529%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.02%E -3.30%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -2.95%E -0.514%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV -6.11%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.02%E -3.30%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -2.95%E -0.514%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV -6.11%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.90%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -2.95%E -0.514%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 18:57 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.90%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -2.95%E -0.514%K -0.622%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.97%EV -5.02%E -3.30%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.09%EV -5.49%E -0.980%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.94%EV -0.951%E -0.198%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.93%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.53I 18.08%NM 17.18%EV -6.67%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 19.88%EV -1.36%E -0.285%K -0.361%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.08%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 18:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.65%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.17%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -6.11%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.17%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -6.11%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 18:58 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.38%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -11.39%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.49%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -11.39%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.06%EV -10.24%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -11.39%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.65%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -11.39%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.97%EV -10.24%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.65%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -11.39%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.97%EV -10.24%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.50%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -11.39%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -11.27%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -11.39%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -11.39%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.73%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.21%EV -12.24%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.06%EV -12.30%E -2.89%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 62.94%EV -17.52%E -13.27%K -54.74%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.29%EV -13.92%E -2.73%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 20.77%EV -17.46%E -4.36%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 20.4% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -15.61%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 61.31%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -15.61%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.92%EV -12.30%E -2.89%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.78%EV -10.64%E -7.44%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -15.61%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -11.27%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.77%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.61%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -12.52%E -8.94%K -31.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -15.61%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 62.79%EV -14.39%E -10.51%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.20%EV -15.61%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.01%EV -11.27%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-04 18:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -18.99%E -3.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -18.99%E -3.96%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48% | 0.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.73% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.45% | 1.9% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |