La escuela de los momios

Frosinone v Pescara

Inicio: 2026-03-04 19:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Frosinone (Local)

Predicción 62.49%1.60momio equitativo
EV -3.77%
Ventaja -2.45%
Kelly -6.98%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.89%62.44%62.43%63.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.471.481.5475.76%67.86%67.34%64.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pescara (Visitante)

Predicción 16.88%5.93momio equitativo
EV +1.10%
Ventaja +0.183%
Kelly +0.220%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.99

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.95%16.93%16.91%18.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.375.305.9920.83%18.61%18.87%16.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 20.64%4.85momio equitativo
EV -0.951%
Ventaja -0.198%
Kelly -0.250%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.88%20.63%20.66%21.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.404.404.8025.00%22.72%22.73%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -3.77%E -2.45%K -6.98%G +0.000%5.99I 16.69%NM 16.08%EV +1.10%E +0.183%K +0.220%G +0.002%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-04 18:59
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 63.59%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.95%EV -0.422%E -0.072%K -0.086%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -5.08%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-04 18:59
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.08%EV -2.11%E -0.364%K -0.440%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.49%EV -6.11%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 18:58
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.95%E -0.514%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.98%E -0.417%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 18:59
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 63.43%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.95%E -0.514%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -1.98%E -0.417%K -0.529%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 18:59
LowVig.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.02%E -3.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -2.95%E -0.514%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV -6.11%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 19:00
BetOnline.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.02%E -3.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.54%EV -2.95%E -0.514%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.90%EV -6.11%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 18:59
Bovada1.47I 68.03%NM 62.90%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -2.95%E -0.514%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 18:57
BetUS1.47I 68.03%NM 62.90%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.08%EV -2.95%E -0.514%K -0.622%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.02%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 18:59
Codere (IT)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.97%EV -5.02%E -3.30%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.09%EV -5.49%E -0.980%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.94%EV -0.951%E -0.198%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 19:00
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.93%EV -5.64%E -3.74%K -11.07%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.18%EV -6.67%E -1.21%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.88%EV -1.36%E -0.285%K -0.361%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 18:59
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.55%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.06%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.08%E -1.10%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 19:00
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 19:00
PointsBet (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 18:59
theScore Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.42%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 19:00
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -8.14%E -5.54%K -17.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 19:00
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-04 18:58
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 19:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.72%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.86%EV -10.65%E -2.46%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-04 19:00
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-04 18:59
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-04 18:59
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-04 18:59
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.32%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.32%EV -7.17%E -1.30%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-04 18:59
NordicBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.17%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -6.11%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 18:59
Betsson1.49I 67.11%NM 62.17%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.48%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.36%EV -6.11%E -1.34%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 19:00
Unibet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
TABtouch1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
BetRivers1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 18:58
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 61.74%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.91%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.38%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.07%EV -10.55%E -1.99%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 19:00
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.50%EV -11.39%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.42%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.49%EV -6.89%E -4.63%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.45%EV -11.39%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.06%EV -10.24%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-04 19:00
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 61.79%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -11.39%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -9.21%E -2.09%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 18:59
Virgin Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.65%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -11.39%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.97%EV -10.24%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-04 19:00
LiveScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 61.65%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.38%EV -11.39%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.97%EV -10.24%E -2.35%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-04 19:00
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.50%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -11.39%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -11.27%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-04 18:59
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.19%EV -7.52%E -5.08%K -15.66%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.25%EV -11.39%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.56%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 19:00
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -11.39%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-04 19:00
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 61.73%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.21%EV -12.24%E -2.35%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.06%EV -12.30%E -2.89%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-04 19:00
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 62.94%EV -17.52%E -13.27%K -54.74%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.29%EV -13.92%E -2.73%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.77%EV -17.46%E -4.36%K -5.82%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-04 18:59
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 60.75%EV -4.39%E -2.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.59%EV -15.61%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.66%EV -7.14%E -1.59%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 19:00
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 61.31%EV -9.39%E -6.48%K -20.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV -15.61%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.92%EV -12.30%E -2.89%K -3.78%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-04 19:00
Parions Sport (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.78%EV -10.64%E -7.44%K -24.75%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.67%EV -15.61%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.55%EV -11.27%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%13.2%2026-03-04 18:59
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.32%EV -10.02%E -6.96%K -22.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.66%EV -15.61%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-04 19:00
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -12.52%E -8.94%K -31.29%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -15.61%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-04 19:00
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 62.79%EV -14.39%E -10.51%K -38.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.20%EV -15.61%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.01%EV -11.27%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-04 18:58
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -18.99%E -3.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 19:00
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.27%E -4.18%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -18.99%E -3.96%K -5.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.33%E -3.17%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 19:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.50%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.02%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%0.7%2026-03-04 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-03-04 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-03-04 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-03-04 19:00
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.73%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.83%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.45%1.9%2026-03-04 19:00