Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Frosinone v Palermo

Kickoff: 2026-04-10 18:32 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Frosinone (Local)

Prediction 42.16%2.37fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.92%42.02%42.24%43.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.202.202.3050.00%45.39%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Palermo (Visit)

Prediction 30.74%3.25fair odd
EV +0.226%
Edge +0.069%
Kelly +0.100%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.92%30.89%30.73%33.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.912.903.2637.74%34.36%34.48%30.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.10%3.69fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -0.682%
Kelly -0.944%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.54%27.09%27.03%29.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.58%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Frosinone (Local): 42.16%; Palermo (Visit): 30.74%; Draw: 27.10%. For Palermo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.26, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.226%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 43.17%EV -5.56%E -2.48%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.66%EV +0.226%E +0.069%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -3.54%E -0.994%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 18:29
1xBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -1.62%E -0.506%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 18:29
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.62%E -0.506%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 18:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -1.62%E -0.506%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.58%E -3.21%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 18:30
BetUS🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -8.09%E -3.71%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.94%E -3.67%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 18:29
Marathon Bet🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 42.57%EV -7.67%E -3.50%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -3.46%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.27%EV -4.72%E -2.09%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.82%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.91%EV -3.81%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 18:30
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 18:29
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 18:30
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.29%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:29
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -16.00%E -5.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-10 18:31
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 18:30
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.58%E -3.21%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 18:30
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.29%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.29%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 18:30
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -14.65%E -4.65%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 18:30
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.46%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -16.00%E -5.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-10 18:31
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.46%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -18.71%E -6.24%K -9.36%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-10 18:30
Betsson🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.92%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -8.38%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 18:30
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.92%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -8.38%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 18:29
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.46%E -0.682%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 18:29
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -15.68%E -7.84%K -15.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -13.29%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-10 18:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 18:29
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -2.46%E -0.682%K -0.944%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:29
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -2.46%E -0.682%K -0.944%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -2.46%E -0.682%K -0.944%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -2.46%E -0.682%K -0.944%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:29
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.94%E -3.67%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-10 18:29
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.94%E -3.67%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-10 18:31
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.94%E -3.67%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-10 18:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -11.46%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.23%E -2.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-10 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.46%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.78%EV -9.77%E -2.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-10 18:30
theScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -12.38%E -4.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -2.46%E -0.682%K -0.944%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 18:30
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -12.38%E -4.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 18:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 18:29
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -15.68%E -7.84%K -15.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -10.58%E -3.21%K -4.60%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-10 18:30
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:31
TABtouch🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:30
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:30
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:27
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:30
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 18:31
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -16.99%E -6.29%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -9.23%E -2.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -11.46%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -16.99%E -6.29%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -16.00%E -5.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-10 18:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -18.53%E -6.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -10.58%E -3.21%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-10 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.76%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -18.53%E -6.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -9.23%E -2.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-10 18:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-10 18:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-10 18:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.79%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-04-10 18:31
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-04-10 18:31
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 42.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30%3.2%2026-04-10 18:31