L’École des cotes

Frosinone v Palermo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-10 18:32 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Frosinone (Local)

Prévision 42.16%2.37cote équitable
EV -3.03%
Avantage -1.32%
Kelly -2.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.92%42.02%42.24%43.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.202.202.3050.00%45.39%45.45%43.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Palermo (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.74%3.25cote équitable
EV +0.226%
Avantage +0.069%
Kelly +0.100%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.92%30.89%30.73%33.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.912.903.2637.74%34.36%34.48%30.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.10%3.69cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -0.682%
Kelly -0.944%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.54%27.09%27.03%29.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.383.403.6033.33%29.58%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.24I 44.64%NM 43.17%EV -5.56%E -2.48%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.66%EV +0.226%E +0.069%K +0.100%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.16%EV -3.54%E -0.994%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-10 18:29
1xBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -1.62%E -0.506%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-10 18:29
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -1.62%E -0.506%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-10 18:30
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -1.62%E -0.506%K -0.736%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -10.58%E -3.21%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-10 18:30
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 42.32%EV -8.09%E -3.71%K -6.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.29%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -11.94%E -3.67%K -5.31%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 18:29
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.57%EV -7.67%E -3.50%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.69%EV -3.46%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -8.96%E -2.67%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 18:30
Codere (IT)2.26I 44.25%NM 42.27%EV -4.72%E -2.09%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.82%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.91%EV -3.81%E -1.07%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-10 18:30
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-10 18:29
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-10 18:30
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.29%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-10 18:29
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.89%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -4.69%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.05%EV -16.00%E -5.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-10 18:31
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.99%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.00%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-10 18:30
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.58%E -3.21%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 18:30
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-10 18:30
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.29%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 18:29
LowVig.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -13.29%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-10 18:30
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -14.65%E -4.65%K -6.81%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-10 18:30
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.06%EV -11.46%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.44%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -16.00%E -5.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-10 18:31
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -11.46%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -18.71%E -6.24%K -9.36%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-10 18:30
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 41.92%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -8.38%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 18:30
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.92%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.95%EV -8.38%E -2.81%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-10 18:29
Coolbet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.24%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -2.46%E -0.682%K -0.944%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-10 18:29
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -15.68%E -7.84%K -15.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -13.29%E -4.15%K -6.04%G +0.000%15.1%2026-04-10 18:29
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-10 18:29
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -2.46%E -0.682%K -0.944%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:29
William Hill2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -2.46%E -0.682%K -0.944%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:30
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -2.46%E -0.682%K -0.944%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:29
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -2.46%E -0.682%K -0.944%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:29
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.94%E -3.67%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-10 18:29
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.94%E -3.67%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-10 18:31
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.62%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.85%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.53%EV -11.94%E -3.67%K -5.31%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-10 18:30
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -11.46%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -9.23%E -2.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-10 18:30
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.47%EV -11.46%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.75%EV -10.84%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.78%EV -9.77%E -2.93%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-10 18:30
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.42%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -12.38%E -4.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -2.46%E -0.682%K -0.944%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-10 18:30
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -12.38%E -4.34%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -5.16%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-10 18:29
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-10 18:29
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 43.10%EV -15.68%E -7.84%K -15.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.78%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -10.58%E -3.21%K -4.60%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-10 18:30
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:31
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:30
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:30
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:30
BetRivers2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:27
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:30
Svenska Spel2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:30
ATG (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:30
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.03%E -1.32%K -2.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-10 18:30
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 18:30
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.01%EV -3.88%E -1.70%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.17%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%EV -7.87%E -2.32%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-10 18:30
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.02%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.82%EV -15.45%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.16%EV -6.52%E -1.89%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-10 18:31
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 39.92%EV -5.14%E -2.28%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.27%EV -16.99%E -6.29%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -9.23%E -2.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-10 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -11.46%E -5.46%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -16.99%E -6.29%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -16.00%E -5.16%K -7.62%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-10 18:30
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.05%EV -7.25%E -3.29%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -18.53%E -6.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.70%EV -10.58%E -3.21%K -4.60%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-10 18:30
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.76%EV -9.36%E -4.35%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -18.53%E -6.99%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -9.23%E -2.75%K -3.93%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-10 18:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-10 18:31
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.19%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.59%0.7%2026-04-10 18:31
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.79%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.63%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-04-10 18:31
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-04-10 18:31
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 42.88%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30%3.2%2026-04-10 18:31