Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Frosinone v Mantova

Inizio: 2026-05-08 18:30 UTC

Finale: Frosinone 5–0 Mantova

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

57 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Frosinone (Casa)

Previsione 60.61%1.65quota equa
EV -4.84%
Vantaggio -3.08%
Kelly -8.49%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
58.78%60.60%60.74%62.53%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.531.531.5769.93%65.40%65.36%63.69%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Mantova (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.73%5.64quota equa
EV +4.10%
Vantaggio +0.698%
Kelly +0.842%
Crescita +0.035%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.87

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
15.95%17.69%17.58%19.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
4.505.115.005.8722.22%19.57%20.00%17.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 21.65%4.62quota equa
EV -2.56%
Vantaggio -0.569%
Kelly -0.732%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.70%21.72%21.68%23.70%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.604.154.104.5027.78%24.07%24.39%22.22%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Frosinone (Casa): 60.61%; Mantova (Trasferta): 17.73%; Pareggio: 21.65%. Per Mantova (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 5.64. 3 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 5.87, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.10%.

Quote dei bookmaker (57 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.53%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.35%EV +4.10%E +0.698%K +0.842%G +0.035%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.12%EV -6.03%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 18:20
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -10.29%E -6.95%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.95%EV +2.86%E +0.493%K +0.595%G +0.017%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -6.89%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.39%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV +1.08%E +0.190%K +0.231%G +0.003%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:00
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.34%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -2.56%E -0.569%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 18:24
Coolbet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -2.56%E -0.569%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 18:04
DraftKings🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -6.89%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 18:14
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -7.87%E -5.18%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.89%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -7.87%E -5.18%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:24
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:54
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:54
SportsBet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 17:54
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.51%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.86%EV -5.65%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.64%EV -4.94%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 18:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -6.01%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -6.01%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:49
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -6.01%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:54
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.90%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -6.24%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:05
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.90%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -6.24%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 17:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.90%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -7.97%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 18:04
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -7.87%E -5.18%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -6.90%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:04
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -6.90%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 18:14
Codere (IT)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.58%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.29%EV -7.78%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -2.56%E -0.569%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 17:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.73%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 17:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 17:34
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 17:34
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.11%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -6.24%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:15
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 18:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -7.87%E -5.18%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 18:04
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -7.87%E -5.18%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 18:25
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 17:55
Sky Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.55%E -3.99%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 17:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 60.85%EV -13.32%E -9.32%K -30.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-08 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.72%E -8.83%K -28.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -22.05%E -6.12%K -8.48%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-08 18:15
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -12.22%E -2.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -5.81%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 17:55
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -12.22%E -2.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -5.81%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 17:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 17:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.18%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.18%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.88%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.88%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.88%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 60.05%EV -9.69%E -6.50%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -14.88%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 18:05
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.10%EV -8.47%E -5.61%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -14.88%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 17:34
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -15.76%E -3.32%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 18:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -7.87%E -5.18%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -16.65%E -3.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -4.73%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 17:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.02%EV -9.69%E -6.50%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -16.65%E -3.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -14.47%E -3.66%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 59.60%EV -11.51%E -7.88%K -25.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -18.42%E -4.00%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.49%EV -12.30%E -3.04%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-08 18:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.48%EV -10.29%E -6.95%K -21.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.56%EV -20.20%E -4.49%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-08 17:55
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-05-08 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-05-08 18:04
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-05-08 18:15
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.27%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86%1.6%2026-05-08 17:55