L’École des cotes

Frosinone v Mantova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-08 18:30 UTC

Score final : Frosinone 5–0 Mantova

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Frosinone (Local)

Prévision 60.61%1.65cote équitable
EV -4.84%
Avantage -3.08%
Kelly -8.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.78%60.60%60.74%62.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.531.531.5769.93%65.40%65.36%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mantova (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.73%5.64cote équitable
EV +4.10%
Avantage +0.698%
Kelly +0.842%
Croissance +0.035%

avec la cote maximale 5.87

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.95%17.69%17.58%19.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.115.005.8722.22%19.57%20.00%17.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.65%4.62cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -0.569%
Kelly -0.732%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.70%21.72%21.68%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.154.104.5027.78%24.07%24.39%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.53%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.87I 17.04%NM 16.35%EV +4.10%E +0.698%K +0.842%G +0.035%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.12%EV -6.03%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-08 18:20
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -10.29%E -6.95%K -21.44%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.95%EV +2.86%E +0.493%K +0.595%G +0.017%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -6.89%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-08 17:54
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.39%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV +1.08%E +0.190%K +0.231%G +0.003%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.46%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:00
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.34%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.40%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.26%EV -2.56%E -0.569%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-08 18:24
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.49%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.33%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.18%EV -2.56%E -0.569%K -0.732%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-08 18:04
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 60.74%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.23%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.04%EV -6.89%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 18:14
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.36%EV -7.87%E -5.18%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.96%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.69%EV -6.89%E -1.60%K -2.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 60.71%EV -7.87%E -5.18%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.78%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.51%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-08 18:24
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:54
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:54
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.22%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.75%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-08 17:54
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.35%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73%EV -2.46%E -0.448%K -0.547%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-08 17:54
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.51%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.32I 18.80%NM 17.86%EV -5.65%E -1.06%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.39I 22.78%NM 21.64%EV -4.94%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 18:19
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -6.01%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:49
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -6.01%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:49
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 60.02%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.44%EV -6.01%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.54%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-08 17:54
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.64%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -6.90%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.57%EV -6.24%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 18:05
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.80%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.90%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.48%EV -6.24%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-08 17:49
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.55%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -6.90%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.80%EV -7.97%E -1.88%K -2.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 18:04
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 60.55%EV -7.87%E -5.18%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -6.90%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-08 18:04
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 60.87%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -6.90%E -1.31%K -1.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-08 18:14
Codere (IT)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.58%EV -4.84%E -3.08%K -8.49%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.29%EV -7.78%E -1.50%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.13%EV -2.56%E -0.569%K -0.732%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-08 17:55
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.16%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.65%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.19%EV -4.73%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-08 17:54
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 17:34
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 59.40%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.53%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.06%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-08 17:34
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.11%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.51%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.38%EV -6.24%E -1.44%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-08 18:15
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-08 18:04
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.71%EV -7.87%E -5.18%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.14%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-08 18:04
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -7.87%E -5.18%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-08 18:25
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.39%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-08 17:55
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.36%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%EV -15.55%E -3.99%K -5.36%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-08 17:55
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 60.85%EV -13.32%E -9.32%K -30.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.40%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.75%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-08 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -12.72%E -8.83%K -28.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -11.33%E -2.27%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -22.05%E -6.12%K -8.48%G +0.000%17.2%2026-05-08 18:15
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -12.22%E -2.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -5.81%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 17:55
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.76%EV -12.22%E -2.47%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.34%EV -5.81%E -1.34%K -1.73%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-08 17:54
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 58.86%EV -5.44%E -3.49%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-08 17:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.02%EV -6.05%E -3.90%K -11.00%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.31%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-08 17:34
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.18%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.18%EV -6.66%E -4.32%K -12.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -13.10%E -2.67%K -3.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -11.22%E -2.74%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.88%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.88%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 58.78%EV -7.26%E -4.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.74%EV -14.88%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.05%EV -9.69%E -6.50%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.64%EV -14.88%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.30%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-08 18:05
LeoVegas1.51I 66.23%NM 59.10%EV -8.47%E -5.61%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.59%EV -14.88%E -3.10%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-08 17:34
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 59.14%EV -9.08%E -6.05%K -18.16%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -15.76%E -3.32%K -4.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -13.39%E -3.35%K -4.46%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-08 18:14
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.92%EV -7.87%E -5.18%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -16.65%E -3.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.70%EV -4.73%E -1.07%K -1.39%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-08 17:54
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.02%EV -9.69%E -6.50%K -19.77%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.71%EV -16.65%E -3.54%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.26%EV -14.47%E -3.66%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-08 17:34
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 59.60%EV -11.51%E -7.88%K -25.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.92%EV -18.42%E -4.00%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.49%EV -12.30%E -3.04%K -4.03%G +0.000%14.9%2026-05-08 18:04
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.48%EV -10.29%E -6.95%K -21.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.56%EV -20.20%E -4.49%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.96%EV -9.06%E -2.16%K -2.83%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-08 17:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-05-08 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-05-08 18:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-05-08 18:04
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.93%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.95%1.2%2026-05-08 18:15
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 62.27%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.87%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86%1.6%2026-05-08 17:55