Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Frosinone v Carrarese

Kickoff: 2026-04-25 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Frosinone (Local)

Prediction 57.75%1.73fair odd
EV -4.71%
Edge -2.86%
Kelly -7.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.53%57.73%57.71%59.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.581.571.6567.11%63.25%63.69%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Carrarese (Visit)

Prediction 19.59%5.10fair odd
EV +2.85%
Edge +0.542%
Kelly +0.670%
Growth +0.019%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.98%19.51%19.63%21.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.754.755.2524.39%21.06%21.05%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.66%4.41fair odd
EV -2.56%
Edge -0.596%
Kelly -0.776%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.83%22.76%22.66%24.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.994.004.3028.57%25.08%25.00%23.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Frosinone (Local): 57.75%; Carrarese (Visit): 19.59%; Draw: 22.66%. For Carrarese (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.85%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -8.18%E -5.14%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV +2.85%E +0.542%K +0.670%G +0.019%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -2.56%E -0.596%K -0.776%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 08:20
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.16%EV -8.18%E -5.14%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 13:03
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:30
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:30
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:30
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:30
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:30
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.34%EV -5.87%E -3.60%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -2.05%E -0.410%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 06:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -10.49%E -6.77%K -19.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -2.05%E -0.410%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 00:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -11.07%E -7.19%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -2.05%E -0.410%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-20 00:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -11.07%E -7.19%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -2.05%E -0.410%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-20 00:30
LeoVegas🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.05%EV -11.64%E -7.61%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -2.05%E -0.410%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-20 00:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.29%E -3.23%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV -4.01%E -0.818%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%EV -2.56%E -0.596%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 06:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 59.13%EV -13.95%E -9.36%K -28.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.98%EV -4.01%E -0.818%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%EV -12.76%E -3.31%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-20 00:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -7.60%E -4.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -4.99%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -5.96%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 06:45
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.54%EV -4.71%E -2.86%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.74%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.72%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:00
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -7.02%E -4.36%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -5.97%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 05:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -9.33%E -5.94%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -5.97%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:54
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -6.45%E -3.98%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.60%EV -6.36%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -5.96%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 06:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.45%E -3.98%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -6.95%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 06:53
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -7.02%E -4.36%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.95%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 06:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.02%E -4.36%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -6.95%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 06:54
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -9.33%E -5.94%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -6.95%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 06:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -9.33%E -5.94%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -6.95%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 13:15
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -6.45%E -3.98%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.93%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 11:10
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.82%EV -7.60%E -4.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -8.91%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.29%EV -5.96%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 06:54
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.82%EV -7.60%E -4.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -8.91%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.29%EV -5.96%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 06:55
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.35%EV -7.02%E -4.36%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.86%EV -8.91%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -8.23%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 07:54
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.35%EV -7.02%E -4.36%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.86%EV -8.91%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -8.23%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 07:54
betfred_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.60%E -4.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.89%E -2.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 06:54
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.60%E -4.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.89%E -2.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 06:55
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.60%E -4.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.89%E -2.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 06:55
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -6.45%E -3.98%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -9.89%E -2.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 07:55
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -7.02%E -4.36%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.89%E -2.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 07:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -7.02%E -4.36%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.89%E -2.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 07:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -7.02%E -4.36%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.89%E -2.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 07:54
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.31%EV -10.49%E -6.77%K -19.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -9.89%E -2.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-22 13:04
LowVig.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -5.87%E -3.60%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -5.87%E -3.60%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 11:24
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.71%E -2.86%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 07:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.58%EV -10.49%E -6.77%K -19.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.59%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 13:05
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.33%E -5.94%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 05:30
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.33%E -5.94%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 05:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.33%E -5.94%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 05:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -11.64%E -7.61%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -20.69%E -5.91%K -8.28%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-22 06:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 57.76%EV -11.64%E -7.61%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.86%EV -12.82%E -2.88%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.37%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 13:04
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 56.20%EV -7.60%E -4.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -13.80%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -12.76%E -3.31%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 07:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 57.45%EV -12.80%E -8.48%K -25.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.72%EV -13.80%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.83%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-23 01:38
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 57.36%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -15.76%E -3.67%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 01:30
BoyleSports🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.28%EV -10.49%E -6.77%K -19.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.77%EV -17.72%E -4.22%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.95%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-22 06:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 56.80%EV -12.22%E -8.04%K -23.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.06%EV -19.68%E -4.80%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.14%EV -11.63%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 01:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.36%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.15%2.6%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.36%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.15%2.6%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.36%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.15%2.6%2026-04-24 03:30
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.36%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.15%2.6%2026-04-24 03:30
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-04-24 03:50