L’École des cotes

Frosinone v Carrarese

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Frosinone (Local)

Prévision 57.75%1.73cote équitable
EV -4.71%
Avantage -2.86%
Kelly -7.25%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.53%57.73%57.71%59.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.491.581.571.6567.11%63.25%63.69%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Carrarese (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.59%5.10cote équitable
EV +2.85%
Avantage +0.542%
Kelly +0.670%
Croissance +0.019%

avec la cote maximale 5.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.98%19.51%19.63%21.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.104.754.755.2524.39%21.06%21.05%19.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.66%4.41cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -0.596%
Kelly -0.776%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.83%22.76%22.66%24.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.994.004.3028.57%25.08%25.00%23.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 59.79%EV -8.18%E -5.14%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.11%EV +2.85%E +0.542%K +0.670%G +0.019%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.11%EV -2.56%E -0.596%K -0.776%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-21 08:20
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.16%EV -8.18%E -5.14%K -13.86%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 13:03
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:30
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:30
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:30
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:30
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:30
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:30
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:30
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.97%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.04%EV -0.091%E -0.018%K -0.022%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-20 00:30
Coolbet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.34%EV -5.87%E -3.60%K -9.31%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.02%EV -2.05%E -0.410%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 06:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -10.49%E -6.77%K -19.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -2.05%E -0.410%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 00:30
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -11.07%E -7.19%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -2.05%E -0.410%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-20 00:30
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -11.07%E -7.19%K -20.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -2.05%E -0.410%K -0.512%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-20 00:30
LeoVegas1.53I 65.36%NM 59.05%EV -11.64%E -7.61%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -2.05%E -0.410%K -0.512%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-20 00:30
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.29%E -3.23%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV -4.01%E -0.818%K -1.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%EV -2.56%E -0.596%K -0.776%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-22 06:55
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.13%EV -13.95%E -9.36%K -28.48%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.98%EV -4.01%E -0.818%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.89%EV -12.76%E -3.31%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-20 00:30
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.29%EV -7.60%E -4.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -4.99%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -5.96%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 06:45
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 57.54%EV -4.71%E -2.86%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.81I 20.79%NM 19.74%EV -5.77%E -1.20%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.72%EV -5.28%E -1.26%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 08:00
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -7.02%E -4.36%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -5.97%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-22 05:30
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -9.33%E -5.94%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -5.97%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 07:54
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.83%EV -6.45%E -3.98%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.78I 20.92%NM 19.60%EV -6.36%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.57%EV -5.96%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 06:55
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.91%EV -6.45%E -3.98%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -6.95%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.83%E -1.15%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-22 06:53
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 57.75%EV -7.02%E -4.36%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.57%EV -6.95%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.68%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-22 06:55
PointsBet (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -7.02%E -4.36%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -6.95%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 06:54
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -9.33%E -5.94%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -6.95%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 06:55
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -9.33%E -5.94%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%EV -6.95%E -1.46%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-22 13:15
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 57.48%EV -6.45%E -3.98%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.81%EV -7.93%E -1.69%K -2.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 11:10
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.82%EV -7.60%E -4.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -8.91%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.29%EV -5.96%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 06:54
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 57.82%EV -7.60%E -4.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.89%EV -8.91%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.29%EV -5.96%E -1.44%K -1.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 06:55
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 57.35%EV -7.02%E -4.36%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.86%EV -8.91%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -8.23%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 07:54
BetUS1.61I 62.11%NM 57.35%EV -7.02%E -4.36%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.86%EV -8.91%E -1.92%K -2.44%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.80%EV -8.23%E -2.03%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 07:54
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.60%E -4.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.89%E -2.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 06:54
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.60%E -4.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.89%E -2.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 06:55
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -7.60%E -4.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -9.89%E -2.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-22 06:55
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -6.45%E -3.98%K -10.40%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -9.89%E -2.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 07:55
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -7.02%E -4.36%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.89%E -2.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 07:54
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -7.02%E -4.36%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.89%E -2.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 07:54
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.38%EV -7.02%E -4.36%K -11.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -9.89%E -2.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.89%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 07:54
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.31%EV -10.49%E -6.77%K -19.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.31%EV -9.89%E -2.15%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.38%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-22 13:04
LowVig.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -5.87%E -3.60%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 11:24
BetOnline.ag1.63I 61.35%NM 56.51%EV -5.87%E -3.60%K -9.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -9.36%E -2.34%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-23 11:24
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -4.71%E -2.86%K -7.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-22 07:05
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.58%EV -10.49%E -6.77%K -19.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.83%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.59%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 13:05
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.33%E -5.94%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 05:30
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.33%E -5.94%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 05:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.75%EV -9.33%E -5.94%K -16.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.80%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.45%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 05:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -11.64%E -7.61%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -11.84%E -2.63%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -20.69%E -5.91%K -8.28%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-22 06:54
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.76%EV -11.64%E -7.61%K -21.97%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.86%EV -12.82%E -2.88%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.37%EV -10.49%E -2.66%K -3.56%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 13:04
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.20%EV -7.60%E -4.75%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.44%EV -13.80%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.36%EV -12.76%E -3.31%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-23 07:54
NetBet (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 57.45%EV -12.80%E -8.48%K -25.09%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.72%EV -13.80%E -3.14%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.83%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%15.3%2026-04-23 01:38
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.36%EV -9.91%E -6.35%K -17.70%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -15.76%E -3.67%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.83%EV -7.09%E -1.73%K -2.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 01:30
BoyleSports1.55I 64.52%NM 56.28%EV -10.49%E -6.77%K -19.07%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.77%EV -17.72%E -4.22%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.95%EV -13.89%E -3.66%K -4.96%G +0.000%14.6%2026-04-22 06:44
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 56.80%EV -12.22%E -8.04%K -23.50%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.06%EV -19.68%E -4.80%K -6.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.14%EV -11.63%E -2.98%K -4.01%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 01:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.36%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.15%2.6%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.36%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.15%2.6%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 58.36%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.15%2.6%2026-04-24 03:30
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 58.36%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.49%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.15%2.6%2026-04-24 03:30
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 57.82%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.47%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.8%2026-04-24 03:50