Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.52
assuming max odds 6.32
assuming max odds 4.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Frosinone (Local): 62.70%; Bari (Visit): 16.08%; Draw: 21.22%. For Bari (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.32, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.59%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.36%EV -4.69%E -3.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.32I 15.82%NM 15.24%EV +1.59%E +0.252%K +0.300%G +0.005% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -4.50%E -1.000%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-18 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.02%EV -5.32%E -3.52%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.35%EV -0.334%E -0.054%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.02%EV -5.32%E -3.52%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.35%EV -0.334%E -0.054%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-18 17:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.95%E -3.96%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 6.18I 16.18%NM 15.37%EV -0.656%E -0.106%K -0.127%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.30%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-18 17:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.29%EV -5.32%E -3.52%K -10.43%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.93%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.78%EV -2.38%E -0.517%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-18 17:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.85%EV -4.69%E -3.09%K -9.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -4.50%E -1.000%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-18 17:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.95%E -3.96%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.50%E -1.000%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-18 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -12.99%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-18 17:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.08%E -6.26%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-18 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 17:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 17:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 17:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 17:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 17:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 17:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.18%EV -9.71%E -6.74%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -15.11%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.95%E -3.96%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.50%E -1.000%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-18 17:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.95%E -3.96%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.50%E -1.000%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-18 17:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.95%E -3.96%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-18 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.50%E -1.000%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 17:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -6.57%E -4.41%K -13.41%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -9.80%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-18 17:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.80%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 17:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.80%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 17:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -9.08%E -6.26%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -8.11%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.92%EV -9.08%E -6.26%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-18 11:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.76%EV -9.08%E -6.26%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -9.80%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-18 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.76%EV -9.08%E -6.26%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -9.80%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-18 17:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.71%E -6.74%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.11%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-18 17:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.71%E -6.74%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.11%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-18 17:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.71%E -6.74%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.11%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-18 17:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.50%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.23%EV -8.37%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.27%EV -7.68%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-18 17:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.50%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.23%EV -8.37%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.27%EV -7.68%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-18 17:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -10.34%E -7.23%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.00%EV -9.98%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-03-18 11:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.95%E -3.96%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.50%E -1.000%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-18 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.11%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-18 17:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-18 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -15.11%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 17:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -9.08%E -6.26%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-18 17:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -9.71%E -6.74%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -17.23%E -4.42%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-03-18 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -9.71%E -6.74%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -19.35%E -5.09%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-18 17:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -9.71%E -6.74%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -20.42%E -5.44%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-18 17:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.29%EV -10.34%E -7.23%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -13.19%E -2.44%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-18 17:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.63%EV -12.22%E -8.73%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.24%EV -13.19%E -2.44%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -11.93%E -2.87%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-18 17:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 62.65%EV -14.10%E -10.29%K -38.10%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 15.89%EV -13.19%E -2.44%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.46%EV -15.11%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-03-18 17:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.50%EV -8.45%E -5.79%K -18.38%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -14.80%E -2.79%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -4.50%E -1.000%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-18 17:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 61.89%EV -17.23%E -13.06%K -53.85%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 15.41%EV -14.80%E -2.79%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 22.69%EV -23.60%E -6.56%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 22.4% | 2026-03-18 17:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -19.62%E -3.92%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-18 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -19.62%E -3.92%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-18 17:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -19.62%E -3.92%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-18 16:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 61.48%EV -10.34%E -7.23%K -24.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.58%EV -19.62%E -3.92%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-03-18 17:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -12.22%E -8.73%K -30.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -19.62%E -3.92%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-03-18 17:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -9.71%E -6.74%K -22.06%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -19.62%E -3.92%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -23.60%E -6.56%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-18 17:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.93% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.56% | 1.3% | 2026-03-18 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 1.3% | 2026-03-18 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 1.4% | 2026-03-18 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.06% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99% | 1.4% | 2026-03-18 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.63% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.21% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.16% | 2.7% | 2026-03-18 17:55 |