L’École des cotes

Frosinone v Bari

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-18 18:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Frosinone (Local)

Prévision 62.70%1.59cote équitable
EV -4.69%
Avantage -3.09%
Kelly -9.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.24%62.63%62.74%63.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.321.461.471.5275.76%68.32%68.03%65.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bari (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.08%6.22cote équitable
EV +1.59%
Avantage +0.252%
Kelly +0.300%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 6.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.24%16.08%16.02%17.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.005.665.756.3220.00%17.67%17.39%15.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 21.22%4.71cote équitable
EV -2.38%
Avantage -0.517%
Kelly -0.660%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.28%21.29%21.24%23.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.604.244.304.6027.78%23.59%23.26%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 63.36%EV -4.69%E -3.09%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.32I 15.82%NM 15.24%EV +1.59%E +0.252%K +0.300%G +0.005%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.40%EV -4.50%E -1.000%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-18 17:55
BetOnline.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.02%EV -5.32%E -3.52%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.35%EV -0.334%E -0.054%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 17:00
LowVig.ag1.51I 66.23%NM 63.02%EV -5.32%E -3.52%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.35%EV -0.334%E -0.054%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-18 17:00
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.33%EV -5.95%E -3.96%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.37%EV -0.656%E -0.106%K -0.127%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.30%EV -5.35%E -1.20%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-18 17:55
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 63.29%EV -5.32%E -3.52%K -10.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.93%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.78%EV -2.38%E -0.517%K -0.660%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-18 17:45
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.85%EV -4.69%E -3.09%K -9.02%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.92%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -4.50%E -1.000%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-18 17:20
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.16%EV -5.95%E -3.96%K -11.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.50%E -1.000%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-18 17:40
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.20%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45%EV -12.99%E -3.17%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-18 17:55
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.34%EV -9.08%E -6.26%K -20.18%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%EV -3.55%E -0.592%K -0.710%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.36%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 16:55
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 17:10
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 17:10
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 17:10
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 17:05
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 17:05
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 17:10
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 17:10
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 17:10
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 17:05
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 62.68%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.89%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.43%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 17:10
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 62.18%EV -9.71%E -6.74%K -22.06%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -6.76%E -1.17%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -15.11%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-18 17:35
Unibet (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.95%E -3.96%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.50%E -1.000%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 17:45
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 62.73%EV -5.95%E -3.96%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -4.50%E -1.000%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-18 17:00
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.43%EV -5.95%E -3.96%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.28%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-18 17:05
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -4.50%E -1.000%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 17:50
PointsBet (AU)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.12%EV -6.57%E -4.41%K -13.41%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.10%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.78%EV -9.80%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-18 17:10
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.80%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 17:40
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 62.28%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.69%EV -9.80%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-18 17:45
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 63.01%EV -9.08%E -6.26%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.10%EV -8.11%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.92%EV -9.08%E -6.26%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.87%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -8.74%E -2.03%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-18 11:54
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.76%EV -9.08%E -6.26%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -9.80%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.76%EV -9.08%E -6.26%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.41%EV -9.80%E -2.31%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-18 17:10
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.71%E -6.74%K -22.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.11%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-18 17:30
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.71%E -6.74%K -22.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.11%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-18 17:30
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 62.10%EV -9.71%E -6.74%K -22.06%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.55%EV -7.57%E -1.32%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -15.11%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-18 17:30
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.50%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.23%EV -8.37%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.27%EV -7.68%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 17:45
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 62.50%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.23%EV -8.37%E -1.47%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.27%EV -7.68%E -1.77%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-18 17:45
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 62.66%EV -10.34%E -7.23%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.00%EV -9.98%E -1.78%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.34%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-18 11:54
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -5.95%E -3.96%K -11.89%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -4.50%E -1.000%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 16:55
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.08%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -8.11%E -1.87%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-18 17:30
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 62.45%EV -7.83%E -5.32%K -16.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.69%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -6.62%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-18 17:10
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 61.01%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.42%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -15.11%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-18 17:45
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.16%EV -9.08%E -6.26%K -20.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.39%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.57%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.46%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-18 17:05
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.31%EV -9.71%E -6.74%K -22.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.05%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.64%EV -17.23%E -4.42%K -5.94%G +0.000%13.3%2026-03-18 17:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 60.95%EV -9.71%E -6.74%K -22.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.96%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.10%EV -19.35%E -5.09%K -6.91%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-18 17:00
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 60.76%EV -9.71%E -6.74%K -22.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.91%EV -11.59%E -2.11%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.33%EV -20.42%E -5.44%K -7.42%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-18 17:00
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 62.29%EV -10.34%E -7.23%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.50%EV -13.19%E -2.44%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.21%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-18 17:45
Parions Sport (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.63%EV -12.22%E -8.73%K -30.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.24%EV -13.19%E -2.44%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -11.93%E -2.87%K -3.79%G +0.000%14.0%2026-03-18 17:45
NetBet (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 62.65%EV -14.10%E -10.29%K -38.10%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.89%EV -13.19%E -2.44%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.46%EV -15.11%E -3.78%K -5.04%G +0.000%16.5%2026-03-18 17:40
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 62.50%EV -8.45%E -5.79%K -18.38%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.22%EV -14.80%E -2.79%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -4.50%E -1.000%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-18 17:45
PMU (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 61.89%EV -17.23%E -13.06%K -53.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 15.41%EV -14.80%E -2.79%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.69%EV -23.60%E -6.56%K -9.08%G +0.000%22.4%2026-03-18 17:55
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -19.62%E -3.92%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-18 16:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -19.62%E -3.92%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-18 17:00
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 60.67%EV -7.20%E -4.87%K -15.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.96%EV -19.62%E -3.92%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.38%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-18 16:55
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.48%EV -10.34%E -7.23%K -24.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.58%EV -19.62%E -3.92%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-18 17:45
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -12.22%E -8.73%K -30.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -19.62%E -3.92%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -10.87%E -2.59%K -3.40%G +0.000%15.2%2026-03-18 17:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.24%EV -9.71%E -6.74%K -22.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.06%EV -19.62%E -3.92%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.70%EV -23.60%E -6.56%K -9.08%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-18 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.93%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.56%1.3%2026-03-18 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.53I 65.36%NM 64.49%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.51%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.3%2026-03-18 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 64.91%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.10%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.4%2026-03-18 17:55
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.06%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.99%1.4%2026-03-18 17:55
Smarkets1.53I 65.36%NM 63.63%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.21%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.16%2.7%2026-03-18 17:55