La scuola delle quote

Empoli v Cesena FC

Inizio: 2026-02-28 14:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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53 bookmaker (19 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Empoli (Casa)

Previsione 37.14%2.69quota equa
EV -1.95%
Vantaggio -0.739%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.50%37.14%37.22%38.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.252.482.482.6444.44%40.40%40.32%37.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Cesena FC (Trasferta)

Previsione 32.85%3.04quota equa
EV +1.18%
Vantaggio +0.382%
Kelly +0.565%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.08

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
31.22%32.80%32.78%34.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.502.782.753.0840.00%36.03%36.36%32.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.01%3.33quota equa
EV -2.46%
Vantaggio -0.758%
Kelly -1.10%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.60%30.06%30.00%31.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.043.053.2537.04%32.95%32.79%30.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (53 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -4.92%E -1.92%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV +1.18%E +0.382%K +0.565%G +0.007%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -7.57%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 13:45
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -4.92%E -1.92%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV +1.18%E +0.382%K +0.565%G +0.007%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -7.57%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Pinnacle2.64I 37.88%NM 36.67%EV -1.95%E -0.739%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.60%EV -2.44%E -0.821%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 13:55
Codere (IT)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -4.74%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 13:55
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -4.74%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 13:55
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.74%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.97%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-28 13:45
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -4.74%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 13:43
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 36.39%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.98%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 13:55
Coolbet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.32%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -2.46%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 13:54
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 13:55
Tipico (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.47%E -3.89%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:55
Bovada2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -6.41%E -2.54%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -7.04%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 13:45
BetUS2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -6.41%E -2.54%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -7.04%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 13:45
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.66%EV -7.36%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -8.47%E -2.78%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 13:55
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.66%EV -7.36%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -8.47%E -2.78%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 13:55
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-02-28 13:55
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 13:45
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 13:46
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 13:45
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 13:45
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 13:45
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 13:45
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -13.57%E -4.71%K -7.22%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-28 13:45
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-28 13:45
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-28 13:55
Unibet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 13:45
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 13:45
TABtouch2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 13:45
Casumo2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 13:45
Unibet (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 13:45
Unibet (NL)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 13:45
ATG (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 13:45
Svenska Spel2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 13:45
betPARX2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 13:45
Grosvenor2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-28 13:45
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -3.97%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 13:55
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -8.47%E -2.78%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 13:45
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -8.47%E -2.78%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 13:55
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -11.98%E -5.05%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 13:55
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -13.57%E -4.71%K -7.22%G +0.000%11.9%2026-02-28 13:45
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -8.47%E -2.78%K -4.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-28 13:55
LeoVegas2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -9.75%E -4.01%K -6.82%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -8.47%E -2.78%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 13:45
Parions Sport (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -12.72%E -5.41%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.64%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -11.47%E -3.89%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.5%2026-02-28 13:55
NetBet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 38.13%EV -16.44%E -7.30%K -13.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.77%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.10%EV -14.47%E -5.08%K -7.82%G +0.000%16.6%2026-02-28 13:55
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -12.72%E -5.41%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-28 13:55
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -13.61%E -5.17%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -13.93%E -5.32%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 13:45
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -13.93%E -5.32%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-28 13:45
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -11.61%E -4.88%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.62%EV -13.93%E -5.32%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.5%2026-02-28 13:45
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.31%EV -14.58%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.75%EV -16.23%E -6.37%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.93%EV -18.97%E -7.03%K -11.16%G +0.000%19.7%2026-02-28 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -17.88%E -7.15%K -11.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -15.97%E -5.70%K -8.87%G +0.000%17.4%2026-02-28 13:45
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-02-28 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-02-28 13:55
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59%0.5%2026-02-28 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42%1.1%2026-02-28 13:55
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 35.75%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%2.1%2026-02-28 13:55