L’École des cotesFrançais
Empoli v Cesena FC
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Empoli (Local)
Prévision 37.14%2.69cote équitable
EV -1.95%
Avantage -0.739%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.64
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.50%37.14%37.22%38.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.482.482.6444.44%40.40%40.32%37.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cesena FC (Visiteur)
Prévision 32.85%3.04cote équitable
EV +1.18%
Avantage +0.382%
Kelly +0.565%
Croissance +0.007%
avec la cote maximale 3.08
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.22%32.80%32.78%34.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.782.753.0840.00%36.03%36.36%32.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.01%3.33cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -0.758%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.60%30.06%30.00%31.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.043.053.2537.04%32.95%32.79%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -4.92%E -1.92%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV +1.18%E +0.382%K +0.565%G +0.007% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -7.57%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -4.92%E -1.92%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV +1.18%E +0.382%K +0.565%G +0.007% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -7.57%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.67%EV -1.95%E -0.739%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.60%EV -2.44%E -0.821%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -4.74%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -4.74%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.74%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.97%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -4.74%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 13:43 |
| 1xBet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.39%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.98%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.32%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -2.46%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.47%E -3.89%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Bovada | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -6.41%E -2.54%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -7.04%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| BetUS | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -6.41%E -2.54%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -7.04%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Betsson | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.66%EV -7.36%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -8.47%E -2.78%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.66%EV -7.36%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -8.47%E -2.78%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 13:46 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -13.57%E -4.71%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -3.97%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -8.47%E -2.78%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -8.47%E -2.78%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -11.98%E -5.05%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -13.57%E -4.71%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -8.47%E -2.78%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -9.75%E -4.01%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -8.47%E -2.78%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -12.72%E -5.41%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.64%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -11.47%E -3.89%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.13%EV -16.44%E -7.30%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.77%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.10%EV -14.47%E -5.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -12.72%E -5.41%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -13.61%E -5.17%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -13.93%E -5.32%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -13.93%E -5.32%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -11.61%E -4.88%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.62%EV -13.93%E -5.32%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.31%EV -14.58%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.75%EV -16.23%E -6.37%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.93%EV -18.97%E -7.03%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -17.88%E -7.15%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -15.97%E -5.70%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.75% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.1% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |