La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Empoli v Cesena FC
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Empoli (Local)
Predicción 37.14%2.69momio equitativo
EV -1.95%
Ventaja -0.739%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.50%37.14%37.22%38.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.482.482.6444.44%40.40%40.32%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Cesena FC (Visitante)
Predicción 32.85%3.04momio equitativo
EV +1.18%
Ventaja +0.382%
Kelly +0.565%
Crecimiento +0.007%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.08
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.22%32.80%32.78%34.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.782.753.0840.00%36.03%36.36%32.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.01%3.33momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -0.758%
Kelly -1.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.60%30.06%30.00%31.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.043.053.2537.04%32.95%32.79%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -4.92%E -1.92%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV +1.18%E +0.382%K +0.565%G +0.007% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -7.57%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%EV -4.92%E -1.92%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV +1.18%E +0.382%K +0.565%G +0.007% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.22%EV -7.57%E -2.46%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.67%EV -1.95%E -0.739%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.60%EV -2.44%E -0.821%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -4.74%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| DraftKings | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.70%EV -4.74%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.11%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Fanatics | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -4.74%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV -3.97%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -4.74%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 13:43 |
| 1xBet | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.39%EV -3.07%E -1.17%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.98%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.32%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.39%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.28%EV -2.46%E -0.758%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 13:54 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.98%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -11.47%E -3.89%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Bovada | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -6.41%E -2.54%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -7.04%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| BetUS | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.62%EV -6.41%E -2.54%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 32.61%EV -7.04%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.76%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Betsson | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.66%EV -7.36%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -8.47%E -2.78%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.14%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 32.66%EV -7.36%E -2.61%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.20%EV -8.47%E -2.78%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| theScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.70%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.98%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.32%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 13:46 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -12.97%E -4.47%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -13.57%E -4.71%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Bet Right | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -7.15%E -2.86%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Unibet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Casumo | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| betPARX | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -7.89%E -3.18%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -3.97%E -1.24%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -8.47%E -2.78%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -8.47%E -2.78%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -6.97%E -2.25%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.71%EV -11.98%E -5.05%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -13.57%E -4.71%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.48%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -8.47%E -2.78%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -9.75%E -4.01%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -8.47%E -2.78%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -12.72%E -5.41%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.64%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -11.47%E -3.89%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.13%EV -16.44%E -7.30%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.77%EV -11.31%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.10%EV -14.47%E -5.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -12.72%E -5.41%K -9.42%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.21%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.39%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.90%EV -13.61%E -5.17%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.72%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -13.93%E -5.32%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.34%EV -9.01%E -3.68%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.98%EV -13.93%E -5.32%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.01%EV -11.61%E -4.88%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.62%EV -13.93%E -5.32%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.36%EV -9.97%E -3.32%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 36.31%EV -14.58%E -6.34%K -11.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 32.75%EV -16.23%E -6.37%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.93%EV -18.97%E -7.03%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 19.7% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.50%EV -10.86%E -4.53%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.08%EV -17.88%E -7.15%K -11.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.43%EV -15.97%E -5.70%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 17.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.99% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 1.1% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.75% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60% | 2.1% | 2026-02-28 13:55 |