Language:English
Cesena FC v Südtirol
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cesena FC (Local)
Prediction 42.55%2.35fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -2.33%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.28
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.16%42.60%42.48%43.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.192.202.2850.00%45.75%45.45%43.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Südtirol (Visit)
Prediction 28.24%3.54fair odd
EV +3.07%
Edge +0.841%
Kelly +1.16%
Growth +0.036%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.35%28.15%28.26%30.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.193.203.6534.72%31.34%31.25%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.21%3.42fair odd
EV -0.683%
Edge -0.201%
Kelly -0.284%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.97%29.25%29.25%31.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.133.153.4034.72%31.97%31.75%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cesena FC (Local): 42.55%; Südtirol (Visit): 28.24%; Draw: 29.21%. For Südtirol (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.54. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -3.84%E -1.70%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.37%EV +3.07%E +0.841%K +1.16%G +0.036% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -3.84%E -1.70%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.37%EV +3.07%E +0.841%K +1.16%G +0.036% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.37%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV +1.66%E +0.461%K +0.638%G +0.011% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-06 10:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -1.17%E -0.333%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 10:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.17%E -0.333%K -0.466%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.98%EV -5.54%E -2.49%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -2.58%E -0.747%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.12%EV -6.81%E -3.11%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 10:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.12%EV -6.81%E -3.11%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 10:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.683%E -0.201%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 10:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.84%E -1.70%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.15%EV -4.77%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 10:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -7.24%E -3.32%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 10:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.23%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -12.77%E -6.23%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.23%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-06 10:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.07%EV -11.92%E -5.76%K -11.14%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.69%EV -9.07%E -2.82%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-06 10:28 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-06 10:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -7.24%E -3.32%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 10:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-06 10:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 10:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 10:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.77%E -6.23%K -12.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-06 10:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -2.98%E -1.31%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -2.98%E -1.31%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -2.98%E -1.31%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -2.98%E -1.31%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -2.98%E -1.31%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -2.98%E -1.31%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-06 10:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -16.70%E -5.66%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -18.11%E -6.24%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.57%EV -7.67%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.57%EV -18.67%E -6.48%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -14.90%E -7.45%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -18.67%E -6.48%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -15.87%E -5.51%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 19.4% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 0.4% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 0.4% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17% | 0.4% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49% | 0.9% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27% | 1.7% | 2026-04-06 10:30 |