La scuola delle quote

Cesena FC v Südtirol

Inizio: 2026-04-06 10:32 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Cesena FC (Casa)

Previsione 42.55%2.35quota equa
EV -2.98%
Vantaggio -1.31%
Kelly -2.33%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.28

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
40.16%42.60%42.48%43.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.192.202.2850.00%45.75%45.45%43.86%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Südtirol (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.24%3.54quota equa
EV +3.07%
Vantaggio +0.841%
Kelly +1.16%
Crescita +0.036%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.35%28.15%28.26%30.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.193.203.6534.72%31.34%31.25%27.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 29.21%3.42quota equa
EV -0.683%
Vantaggio -0.201%
Kelly -0.284%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.97%29.25%29.25%31.16%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.883.133.153.4034.72%31.97%31.75%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -3.84%E -1.70%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.37%EV +3.07%E +0.841%K +1.16%G +0.036%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 10:30
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 42.59%EV -3.84%E -1.70%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.37%EV +3.07%E +0.841%K +1.16%G +0.036%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.05%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-06 10:30
Pinnacle2.23I 44.84%NM 43.37%EV -5.11%E -2.29%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%EV +1.66%E +0.461%K +0.638%G +0.011%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.76%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-06 10:29
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -1.17%E -0.333%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 10:29
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -1.17%E -0.333%K -0.466%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 10:30
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 42.98%EV -5.54%E -2.49%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.66%EV -2.58%E -0.747%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 10:30
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 10:30
Bovada2.19I 45.66%NM 42.12%EV -6.81%E -3.11%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 10:24
BetUS2.19I 45.66%NM 42.12%EV -6.81%E -3.11%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.13%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 10:29
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 10:30
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -3.99%E -1.17%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 10:30
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.22%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.81%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.683%E -0.201%K -0.284%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 10:29
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -3.84%E -1.70%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 29.15%EV -4.77%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 10:29
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.73%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 10:30
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.50%EV -7.24%E -3.32%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.42%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 10:29
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -6.81%E -2.06%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-06 10:30
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -8.23%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-06 10:30
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.42%EV -12.77%E -6.23%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.39%EV -8.23%E -2.53%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.19%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-06 10:29
Betclic (FR)2.07I 48.31%NM 43.07%EV -11.92%E -5.76%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.69%EV -9.07%E -2.82%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.23%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 10:28
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 10:30
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.29%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 10:29
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.33%EV -7.24%E -3.32%K -6.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 10:30
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 10:29
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 10:30
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.64%E -3.01%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-06 10:29
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.47%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 10:29
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.68%EV -11.05%E -3.51%K -5.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -15.29%E -5.27%K -8.05%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 10:30
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 10:29
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.09%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-06 10:30
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.65%EV -12.77%E -6.23%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.20%EV -12.46%E -4.02%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.14%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-06 10:29
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -2.98%E -1.31%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 10:30
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -2.98%E -1.31%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 10:30
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -2.98%E -1.31%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 10:30
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -2.98%E -1.31%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 10:30
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -2.98%E -1.31%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 10:30
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 40.44%EV -2.98%E -1.31%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 10:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 10:30
Virgin Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 10:30
LiveScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -4.26%E -1.89%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 10:30
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 10:30
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-06 10:29
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-06 10:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.49%EV -8.52%E -3.96%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.29%E -5.10%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-06 10:30
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 40.73%EV -6.39%E -2.90%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.37%EV -16.70%E -5.66%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.6%2026-04-06 10:30
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.64%EV -10.64%E -5.07%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.15%EV -18.11%E -6.24%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.21%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-06 10:30
PMU (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 40.57%EV -7.67%E -3.53%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.57%EV -18.67%E -6.48%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.86%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-06 10:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 41.86%EV -14.90%E -7.45%K -14.90%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -18.67%E -6.48%K -9.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.07%EV -15.87%E -5.51%K -8.44%G +0.000%19.4%2026-04-06 10:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-04-06 10:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-04-06 10:30
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.28%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.55%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.17%0.4%2026-04-06 10:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.08%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.43%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.49%0.9%2026-04-06 10:30
Smarkets2.28I 43.86%NM 43.15%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.27%1.7%2026-04-06 10:30