Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cesena FC v Mantova

Início: 2026-09-06 13:00 UTC

Final: Cesena FC 1–1 Mantova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Cesena FC (Local)

Previsão 32.85%3.04odd justa
EV -1.12%
Vantagem -0.372%
Kelly -0.557%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.01

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.87%32.99%32.93%35.36%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.482.752.753.0140.32%36.35%36.36%33.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Mantova (Visitante)

Previsão 38.69%2.58odd justa
EV -1.34%
Vantagem -0.527%
Kelly -0.867%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.54%38.47%38.59%39.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.422.402.5545.45%41.36%41.67%39.22%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.46%3.51odd justa
EV -4.09%
Vantagem -1.21%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.37

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.48%28.54%28.48%31.10%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.953.203.243.3733.90%31.25%30.86%29.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Cesena FC (Local): 32.85%; Mantova (Visitante): 38.69%; Empate: 28.46%. Para Cesena FC (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.04. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.01, com valor esperado de -1.12%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.01I 33.22%NM 32.18%EV -1.12%E -0.372%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.90%EV -3.67%E -1.47%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.92%EV -4.66%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-06 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.87%EV -2.76%E -0.933%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 12:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.87%EV -2.76%E -0.933%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 12:50
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -4.73%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -4.66%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 12:25
Bovada🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.73%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 12:55
FanDuel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.73%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 12:44
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -4.73%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 12:50
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -4.73%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 12:45
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -4.73%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-06 12:35
BetMGM🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 12:25
Codere (IT)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -4.44%E -1.80%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -4.66%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 12:30
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 12:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 12:25
Tipico (DE)🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -16.04%E -5.44%K -8.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 12:39
1xBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.81%EV -7.69%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.19%EV -4.09%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 12:50
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 12:25
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 12:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 12:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 12:25
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 12:45
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 12:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 12:45
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 12:35
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 12:30
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 12:30
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 12:54
betano_uk🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 12:54
Betclic (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -9.86%E -4.23%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.08%EV -8.07%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 12:35
Sky Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -14.62%E -4.87%K -7.31%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-06 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 12:25
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 12:25
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 12:25
Grosvenor🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -1.34%E -0.527%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:25
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -1.34%E -0.527%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -1.34%E -0.527%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:25
TABtouch🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -1.34%E -0.527%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -1.34%E -0.527%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:25
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -1.34%E -0.527%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -1.34%E -0.527%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -1.34%E -0.527%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:25
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -1.34%E -0.527%K -0.867%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-06 12:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-06 12:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-06 12:35
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.7%2026-09-06 12:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-06 12:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 12:25
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -13.93%E -5.32%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 12:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -13.93%E -5.32%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -12.95%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-06 12:50
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -14.59%E -5.61%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-06 12:35
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -14.59%E -5.61%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -14.59%E -5.61%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-06 12:35
BetRivers🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -14.59%E -5.61%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 12:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -16.23%E -6.37%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -5.99%E -2.46%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -16.23%E -6.37%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -5.99%E -2.46%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 12:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -16.23%E -6.37%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -5.99%E -2.46%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-06 12:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 34.70%EV -18.53%E -7.47%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.62%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -14.62%E -4.87%K -7.31%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-06 12:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%0.8%2026-09-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53%1.1%2026-09-06 12:55
Smarkets◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.55%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.85%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59%2.4%2026-09-06 12:55