Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.01
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.37
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cesena FC (Local): 32.85%; Mantova (Visitante): 38.69%; Empate: 28.46%. Para Cesena FC (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.04. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.01, con un valor esperado de -1.12%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.18%EV -1.12%E -0.372%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.90%EV -3.67%E -1.47%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.92%EV -4.66%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-06 12:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.87%EV -2.76%E -0.933%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 12:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.87%EV -2.76%E -0.933%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -5.60%E -2.30%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 12:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -4.73%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -4.66%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -4.73%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 12:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -4.73%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-06 12:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -4.73%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 12:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -4.73%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.99%EV -4.73%E -1.63%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.47%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -5.39%E -1.87%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.28%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -4.44%E -1.80%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -4.66%E -1.39%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-09-06 12:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.43%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.38%E -2.24%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -16.04%E -5.44%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-09-06 12:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.81%EV -7.69%E -2.74%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.00%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.19%EV -4.09%E -1.21%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-06 12:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -8.02%E -2.86%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.13%EV -7.15%E -2.98%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-06 12:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 12:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-06 12:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.93%EV -9.86%E -4.23%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.08%EV -8.07%E -2.50%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -7.92%E -3.33%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -14.62%E -4.87%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -9.66%E -3.51%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -1.34%E -0.527%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -1.34%E -0.527%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -1.34%E -0.527%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -1.34%E -0.527%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -1.34%E -0.527%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -1.34%E -0.527%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -1.34%E -0.527%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -1.34%E -0.527%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.61%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -1.34%E -0.527%K -0.867%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.75%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.70%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.72%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.57%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.42%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.79%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -11.30%E -4.19%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -14.89%E -6.77%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-09-06 12:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.93%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.70%EV -12.95%E -4.89%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.83%EV -11.02%E -4.79%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.04%EV -13.93%E -5.32%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -7.50%E -2.31%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.23%EV -13.93%E -5.32%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.69%EV -12.95%E -5.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-09-06 12:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -14.59%E -5.61%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -3.28%E -1.31%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -14.59%E -5.61%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.25%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -6.08%E -1.84%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -14.59%E -5.61%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.27%EV -8.92%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-09-06 12:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.64%EV -14.59%E -5.61%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.76%EV -5.21%E -2.13%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -10.35%E -3.29%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -16.23%E -6.37%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -5.99%E -2.46%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -16.23%E -6.37%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -5.99%E -2.46%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -16.23%E -6.37%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.54%EV -5.99%E -2.46%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -11.77%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 34.70%EV -18.53%E -7.47%K -12.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 36.62%EV -9.08%E -3.86%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.68%EV -14.62%E -4.87%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-09-06 12:25 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-09-06 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 12:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.43% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.04% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.53% | 1.1% | 2026-09-06 12:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.55% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.85% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59% | 2.4% | 2026-09-06 12:55 |