L’École des cotes

Cesena FC v Frosinone

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 14:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cesena FC (Local)

Prévision 35.29%2.83cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.425%
Kelly -0.660%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.96%35.20%35.31%36.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.622.652.8042.55%38.23%37.74%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Frosinone (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.05%2.63cote équitable
EV -2.98%
Avantage -1.17%
Kelly -1.93%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.43%38.07%38.07%39.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.392.382.5545.45%41.87%42.02%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.66%3.75cote équitable
EV -4.01%
Avantage -1.11%
Kelly -1.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.77%26.73%26.63%28.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.853.393.453.6035.09%29.52%28.99%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.56%EV -1.19%E -0.425%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.25%EV -3.74%E -1.48%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-14 13:55
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.19%E -0.425%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 13:30
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.19%E -0.425%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-14 13:30
Unibet (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -9.45%E -3.97%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-14 12:05
1xBet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.89%EV -6.41%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -9.87%E -2.92%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 13:35
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:05
Grosvenor2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:05
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:05
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:05
Casumo2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:05
Unibet (NL)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:00
TABtouch2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:00
betPARX2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:05
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:05
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -11.35%E -4.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-14 13:05
Betway2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:35
BetUS2.68I 37.31%NM 34.39%EV -5.42%E -2.02%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.93%E -3.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.67%E -3.19%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 13:55
Bovada2.67I 37.45%NM 34.53%EV -5.78%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.94%EV -7.55%E -3.11%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.67%E -3.19%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-14 13:52
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.44%EV -2.98%E -1.17%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 13:55
Codere (IT)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.44%EV -2.98%E -1.17%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 12:05
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -4.89%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.34%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-14 12:05
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -4.89%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-14 12:05
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 13:15
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:05
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -4.89%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -14.67%E -4.59%K -6.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 12:03
LiveScore Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -11.73%E -5.06%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 13:00
Virgin Bet2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -11.73%E -5.06%K -8.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 13:00
PlayUp2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-14 13:55
LeoVegas2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -7.19%E -2.73%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -12.50%E -5.43%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-14 13:05
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 13:35
William Hill2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 13:35
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 13:35
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-14 13:35
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -8.25%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -9.45%E -3.97%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 13:34
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -8.25%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -17.34%E -5.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Paddy Power2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -8.25%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -17.34%E -5.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-14 12:05
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 35.70%EV -8.95%E -3.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.60%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 13:50
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 35.70%EV -8.95%E -3.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.60%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-14 12:05
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -10.01%E -3.93%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 13:45
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -10.01%E -3.93%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-14 13:30
Betclic (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 35.46%EV -11.07%E -4.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.02%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 26.52%EV -10.14%E -3.01%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-14 13:38
Bet Right2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -11.78%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-14 13:55
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.78%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 12:05
Betr (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.78%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 13:45
Neds2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.78%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.45%E -3.97%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-14 13:15
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.78%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -9.83%E -4.15%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-14 13:15
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.78%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -9.83%E -4.15%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-14 13:15
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 34.68%EV -11.78%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.43%EV -9.45%E -3.97%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -20.01%E -6.67%K -10.00%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-14 12:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -11.78%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.61%EV -16.30%E -7.41%K -13.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.40%EV -17.34%E -5.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%17.7%2026-03-14 12:05
NetBet (FR)2.47I 40.49%NM 34.85%EV -12.83%E -5.20%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -14.40%E -6.40%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.90%EV -14.67%E -4.59%K -6.67%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-14 13:40
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -13.54%E -5.53%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -12.50%E -5.43%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -10.67%E -3.19%K -4.54%G +0.000%14.1%2026-03-14 12:04
Parions Sport (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 35.47%EV -13.54%E -5.53%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.79%EV -12.50%E -5.43%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -13.34%E -4.10%K -5.93%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-14 13:35
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 35.65%EV -15.30%E -6.38%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.03%EV -14.40%E -6.40%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -13.34%E -4.10%K -5.93%G +0.000%16.9%2026-03-14 12:04
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 34.57%EV -17.07%E -7.26%K -12.64%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 36.93%EV -16.30%E -7.41%K -13.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 28.50%EV -24.01%E -8.42%K -12.98%G +0.000%23.1%2026-03-14 13:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-14 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-14 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-14 13:50
Matchbook2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26%0.5%2026-03-14 13:50
Smarkets2.80I 35.71%NM 35.13%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32%1.7%2026-03-14 13:50