La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cesena FC v Frosinone
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cesena FC (Local)
Predicción 35.29%2.83momio equitativo
EV -1.19%
Ventaja -0.425%
Kelly -0.660%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.96%35.20%35.31%36.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.622.652.8042.55%38.23%37.74%35.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Frosinone (Visitante)
Predicción 38.05%2.63momio equitativo
EV -2.98%
Ventaja -1.17%
Kelly -1.93%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.43%38.07%38.07%39.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.392.382.5545.45%41.87%42.02%39.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.66%3.75momio equitativo
EV -4.01%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.77%26.73%26.63%28.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.393.453.6035.09%29.52%28.99%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.56%EV -1.19%E -0.425%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.25%EV -3.74%E -1.48%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.18%EV -5.07%E -1.43%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 13:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.19%E -0.425%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -1.19%E -0.425%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.42%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-14 13:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -9.45%E -3.97%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| 1xBet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.89%EV -6.41%E -2.60%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.58%EV -9.87%E -2.92%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 13:35 |
| Unibet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| Casumo | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| betPARX | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.11%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.00%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -11.35%E -4.87%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| Betway | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -4.72%E -1.75%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 13:35 |
| BetUS | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.39%EV -5.42%E -2.02%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.09%EV -7.93%E -3.28%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.67%E -3.19%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 13:55 |
| Bovada | 2.67I 37.45%NM 34.53%EV -5.78%E -2.16%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.94%EV -7.55%E -3.11%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.52%EV -10.67%E -3.19%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-14 13:52 |
| Coolbet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.44%EV -2.98%E -1.17%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 13:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.03%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.44%EV -2.98%E -1.17%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.52%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.63%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.77%EV -4.89%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -5.34%E -1.50%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Fanatics | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -4.89%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| BetMGM | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 13:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.68%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.29%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| FanDuel | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -4.89%E -1.95%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -14.67%E -4.59%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 12:03 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -11.73%E -5.06%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.23%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.10%EV -11.73%E -5.06%K -8.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 13:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -6.48%E -2.45%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 13:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -7.19%E -2.73%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -12.50%E -5.43%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.34%E -2.75%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
| 888sport | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 13:35 |
| William Hill | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.92%EV -7.54%E -2.88%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.35%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-14 13:35 |
| Bet Victor | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.27%EV -8.25%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.53%EV -9.45%E -3.97%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.20%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 13:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -8.25%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -17.34%E -5.59%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.22%EV -8.25%E -3.17%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -17.34%E -5.59%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.70%EV -8.95%E -3.47%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.60%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 35.70%EV -8.95%E -3.47%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.60%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.01%E -2.32%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -10.01%E -3.93%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 13:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -10.01%E -3.93%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -4.01%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-14 13:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.52I 39.68%NM 35.46%EV -11.07%E -4.39%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.02%EV -10.59%E -4.51%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.37I 29.67%NM 26.52%EV -10.14%E -3.01%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-14 13:38 |
| Bet Right | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -11.78%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.79%E -2.77%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-14 13:55 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.78%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -11.78%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -8.69%E -3.62%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -6.67%E -1.91%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 13:45 |
| Neds | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.78%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -9.45%E -3.97%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-14 13:15 |
| Coral | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.78%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -9.83%E -4.15%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-14 13:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.78%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.51%EV -9.83%E -4.15%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.94%EV -12.01%E -3.64%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-14 13:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.68%EV -11.78%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.43%EV -9.45%E -3.97%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.90%EV -20.01%E -6.67%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 33.98%EV -11.78%E -4.71%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.61%EV -16.30%E -7.41%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.40%EV -17.34%E -5.59%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 17.7% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.47I 40.49%NM 34.85%EV -12.83%E -5.20%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.25%EV -14.40%E -6.40%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.90%EV -14.67%E -4.59%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-14 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.76%EV -13.54%E -5.53%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.09%EV -12.50%E -5.43%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.15%EV -10.67%E -3.19%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.47%EV -13.54%E -5.53%K -9.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.79%EV -12.50%E -5.43%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -13.34%E -4.10%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-03-14 13:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.65%EV -15.30%E -6.38%K -10.93%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.03%EV -14.40%E -6.40%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.33%EV -13.34%E -4.10%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-03-14 12:04 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 34.57%EV -17.07%E -7.26%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 36.93%EV -16.30%E -7.41%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 28.50%EV -24.01%E -8.42%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 23.1% | 2026-03-14 13:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Matchbook | 2.84I 35.21%NM 35.04% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.26% | 0.5% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.13% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.54% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.32% | 1.7% | 2026-03-14 13:50 |