默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Carrarese v US Catanzaro 1929

开赛时间: 2026-03-04 18:02 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

54 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Carrarese (主队)

预测 39.21%2.55公平赔率
EV -1.98%
优势 -0.794%
Kelly -1.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.50

博彩公司预测分布
37.09%39.17%39.24%40.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.122.372.392.5047.17%42.25%41.84%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

US Catanzaro 1929 (客队)

预测 30.37%3.29公平赔率
EV -1.28%
优势 -0.395%
Kelly -0.570%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布
29.51%30.49%30.18%32.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.632.982.923.2538.02%33.60%34.19%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 30.42%3.29公平赔率
EV -1.14%
优势 -0.350%
Kelly -0.505%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.25

博彩公司预测分布
28.85%30.34%30.57%31.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.652.993.003.2537.74%33.40%33.33%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Carrarese (主队):39.21%;US Catanzaro 1929 (客队):30.37%;平局:30.42%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.29。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.25,期望值为-1.14%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (54 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -1.98%E -0.794%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 17:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.58%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.53%EV -1.59%E -0.490%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.89%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.58%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.53%EV -1.59%E -0.490%K -0.709%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.89%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 17:59
1xBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.05%EV -6.92%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 17:59
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.23%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.28%E -0.395%K -0.570%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.96%EV -4.79%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-04 17:59
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 17:59
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 17:59
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 18:00
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 18:00
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 18:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 17:59
Grosvenor🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 17:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 18:00
BetRivers🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 17:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 17:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 18:00
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 18:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.33%EV -5.51%E -2.29%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 17:59
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -5.23%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -9.35%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 18:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -10.40%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 17:59
Bet Right🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -7.22%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-04 17:59
William Hill🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 18:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 18:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-04 18:00
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 17:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 17:59
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -10.26%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.0%2026-03-04 18:00
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-04 17:59
BetUS🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.93%EV -7.08%E -2.99%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -5.23%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -10.87%E -3.71%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-04 17:59
SportsBet🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.61%EV -7.08%E -2.99%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.88%EV -12.70%E -4.42%K -6.79%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-04 18:00
Bovada🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.12%EV -7.47%E -3.17%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.59%EV -5.23%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -10.26%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 17:59
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -1.14%E -0.350%K -0.505%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 18:00
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 18:00
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 17:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.26%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 17:59
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -2.66%E -0.830%K -1.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 18:00
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 18:00
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 18:00
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-04 17:59
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-04 18:00
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.83%E -5.29%K -8.24%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-04 18:00
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.45%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -10.40%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -14.83%E -5.29%K -8.24%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-04 17:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.09%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.44%EV -20.12%E -7.65%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -14.83%E -5.29%K -8.24%G +0.000%17.2%2026-03-04 17:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000%11.2%2026-03-04 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -10.26%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000%11.7%2026-03-04 17:59
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-04 17:59
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -14.95%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.5%2026-03-04 18:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 38.77%EV -15.71%E -7.31%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 29.77%EV -14.95%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.46%EV -19.39%E -7.32%K -11.75%G +0.000%20.0%2026-03-04 17:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 40.41%EV -16.88%E -7.96%K -15.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.54%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.06%EV -13.30%E -4.67%K -7.19%G +0.000%16.7%2026-03-04 17:59
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.16%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-03-04 18:00
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.32%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96%0.9%2026-03-04 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-03-04 18:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93%1.0%2026-03-04 18:00
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 39.00%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45%2.6%2026-03-04 18:00