L’École des cotesFrançais
Carrarese v US Catanzaro 1929
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Carrarese (Local)
Prévision 39.21%2.55cote équitable
EV -1.98%
Avantage -0.794%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.09%39.17%39.24%40.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.122.372.392.5047.17%42.25%41.84%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
US Catanzaro 1929 (Visiteur)
Prévision 30.37%3.29cote équitable
EV -1.28%
Avantage -0.395%
Kelly -0.570%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.51%30.49%30.18%32.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.982.923.2538.02%33.60%34.19%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 30.42%3.29cote équitable
EV -1.14%
Avantage -0.350%
Kelly -0.505%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.85%30.34%30.57%31.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.993.003.2537.74%33.40%33.33%30.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -1.98%E -0.794%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.58%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.53%EV -1.59%E -0.490%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.89%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.58%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.53%EV -1.59%E -0.490%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.89%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.05%EV -6.92%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.23%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.28%E -0.395%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.96%EV -4.79%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 17:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| betPARX | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.33%EV -5.51%E -2.29%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -5.23%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -9.35%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -10.40%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -7.22%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -10.26%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| BetUS | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.93%EV -7.08%E -2.99%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -5.23%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -10.87%E -3.71%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.61%EV -7.08%E -2.99%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.88%EV -12.70%E -4.42%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Bovada | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.12%EV -7.47%E -3.17%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.59%EV -5.23%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -10.26%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -1.14%E -0.350%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.26%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -2.66%E -0.830%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.83%E -5.29%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.45%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -10.40%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -14.83%E -5.29%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.09%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.44%EV -20.12%E -7.65%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -14.83%E -5.29%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -10.26%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -14.95%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.77%EV -15.71%E -7.31%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.77%EV -14.95%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.46%EV -19.39%E -7.32%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.41%EV -16.88%E -7.96%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.54%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.06%EV -13.30%E -4.67%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.16% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.32% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.00% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |