La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Carrarese v US Catanzaro 1929
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Carrarese (Local)
Predicción 39.21%2.55momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.794%
Kelly -1.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.09%39.17%39.24%40.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.372.392.5047.17%42.25%41.84%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
US Catanzaro 1929 (Visitante)
Predicción 30.37%3.29momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.395%
Kelly -0.570%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.51%30.49%30.18%32.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.982.923.2538.02%33.60%34.19%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.42%3.29momio equitativo
EV -1.14%
Ventaja -0.350%
Kelly -0.505%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.85%30.34%30.57%31.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.993.003.2537.74%33.40%33.33%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -1.98%E -0.794%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -4.18%E -1.33%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.58%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.53%EV -1.59%E -0.490%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.89%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.58%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.53%EV -1.59%E -0.490%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.89%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| 1xBet | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -2.77%E -1.12%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.05%EV -6.92%E -2.26%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Pinnacle | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.23%EV -3.16%E -1.28%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.81%EV -1.28%E -0.395%K -0.570%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.96%EV -4.79%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -3.95%E -1.61%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Unibet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Casumo | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 17:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| betPARX | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.77%EV -4.73%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.64%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.33%EV -5.51%E -2.29%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.88%EV -5.23%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -9.35%E -3.14%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -10.40%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -7.22%E -2.37%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| William Hill | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -5.91%E -2.46%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.32%E -1.37%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.85%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.61%EV -13.43%E -4.71%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%EV -10.26%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Neds | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -6.69%E -2.81%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -12.52%E -4.35%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.15%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| BetUS | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.93%EV -7.08%E -2.99%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.57%EV -5.23%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 31.49%EV -10.87%E -3.71%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| SportsBet | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.61%EV -7.08%E -2.99%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.88%EV -12.70%E -4.42%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Bovada | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.12%EV -7.47%E -3.17%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.59%EV -5.23%E -1.68%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -10.26%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -1.14%E -0.350%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.16%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -7.36%E -2.41%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -10.26%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -7.87%E -3.35%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -2.66%E -0.830%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -5.84%E -1.88%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -12.39%E -4.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -14.83%E -5.29%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.45%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.97%EV -10.40%E -3.52%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.58%EV -14.83%E -5.29%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.09%EV -9.83%E -4.27%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.44%EV -20.12%E -7.65%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.47%EV -14.83%E -5.29%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 17.2% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.97%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.01%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.01%EV -5.70%E -1.84%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.80%EV -11.79%E -5.24%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -8.88%E -2.96%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.35%EV -10.26%E -3.48%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.73%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.14%EV -11.78%E -4.06%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -13.75%E -6.25%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -14.95%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -8.74%E -2.91%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.77%EV -15.71%E -7.31%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.77%EV -14.95%E -5.34%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 31.46%EV -19.39%E -7.32%K -11.75%G +0.000% | 20.0% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.41%EV -16.88%E -7.96%K -15.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.54%EV -11.91%E -4.11%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.06%EV -13.30%E -4.67%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-04 17:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.16% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.26% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.32% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.96% | 0.9% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.11% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.93% | 1.0% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.00% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.45% | 2.6% | 2026-03-04 18:00 |