Школа коэффициентов

Carrarese v Spezia

Начало: 2026-04-06 17:32 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

55 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Carrarese (Хозяева)

Прогноз 40.18%2.49справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.15%
Преимущество -0.467%
Kelly -0.787%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.46

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
37.41%40.17%40.13%43.53%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.022.262.302.4649.50%44.33%43.48%40.65%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Spezia (Гости)

Прогноз 28.71%3.48справедливый коэффициент
EV +0.501%
Преимущество +0.143%
Kelly +0.201%
Рост +0.001%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.50

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.37%28.71%28.76%31.87%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.703.223.233.5037.04%31.02%30.96%28.57%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 31.10%3.22справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.473%
Преимущество -0.148%
Kelly -0.215%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.20

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.35%31.11%31.11%33.04%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.963.003.2036.36%33.74%33.33%31.25%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (55 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.59%EV -2.76%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV +0.501%E +0.143%K +0.201%G +0.001%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.04%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-06 17:30
Pinnacle2.46I 40.65%NM 39.37%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.91%EV -0.360%E -0.104%K -0.146%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.72%EV -7.94%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-06 17:29
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 17:27
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 17:30
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 17:30
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 17:30
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 17:30
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 17:30
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 17:30
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 17:30
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 17:30
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -15.62%E -7.44%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 17:30
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -15.62%E -7.44%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 17:30
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -15.62%E -7.44%K -14.20%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 17:30
Codere (IT)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.14%EV -6.78%E -2.92%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -2.37%E -0.697%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-06 17:30
LowVig.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.27%EV -2.76%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -2.37%E -0.697%K -0.988%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.77%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 17:30
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -2.37%E -0.697%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 17:30
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.50%EV -16.82%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -2.37%E -0.697%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 17:30
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 17:29
Marathon Bet2.36I 42.37%NM 39.54%EV -5.17%E -2.19%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.18%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 17:28
BetUS2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 17:29
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 17:28
PMU (FR)2.02I 49.50%NM 43.31%EV -18.83%E -9.32%K -18.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.51%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.17%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-06 17:30
Unibet (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.68%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 17:30
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.68%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -0.473%E -0.148%K -0.215%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 17:30
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -6.68%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 17:30
1xBet2.42I 41.32%NM 39.25%EV -2.76%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.41%EV -7.25%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.35%EV -5.76%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 17:29
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-06 17:30
Betsson2.32I 43.10%NM 39.94%EV -6.78%E -2.92%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -7.32%E -2.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 17:29
NordicBet2.32I 43.10%NM 39.94%EV -6.78%E -2.92%K -5.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -7.32%E -2.45%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-06 17:29
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 17:30
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 17:30
Betclic (FR)2.17I 46.08%NM 41.23%EV -12.80%E -5.90%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.13%EV -8.69%E -2.73%K -3.99%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.64%EV -9.18%E -3.14%K -4.78%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-06 17:25
Coolbet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.943%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-06 17:29
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -11.60%E -5.27%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-06 17:30
PointsBet (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-06 17:29
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 17:30
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 17:30
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-06 17:30
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -14.47%E -5.26%K -8.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-06 17:30
Unibet (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.60%E -5.27%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-06 17:29
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.61%E -6.33%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -12.42%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -11.36%E -3.99%K -6.14%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-06 17:30
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.53%EV -13.61%E -6.33%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.57%EV -12.42%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.90%EV -12.29%E -4.36%K -6.75%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-06 17:29
Bet Right2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-06 17:29
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 17:29
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-06 17:29
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-06 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-06 17:30
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -16.73%E -5.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 17:29
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -16.73%E -5.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 17:29
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -16.73%E -5.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 17:29
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -16.73%E -5.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-06 17:29
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 40.85%EV -15.62%E -7.44%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.58%EV -16.73%E -5.77%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.58%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000%16.6%2026-04-06 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -22.47%E -8.32%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-06 17:30
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (5)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.55%0.7%2026-04-06 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.55%0.7%2026-04-06 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.55%0.7%2026-04-06 17:30
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.27%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45%1.0%2026-04-06 17:30
Smarkets2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.63%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44%2.7%2026-04-06 17:30