La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Carrarese v Spezia
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Carrarese (Local)
Predicción 40.18%2.49momio equitativo
EV -1.15%
Ventaja -0.467%
Kelly -0.787%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.41%40.17%40.13%43.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.262.302.4649.50%44.33%43.48%40.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Spezia (Visitante)
Predicción 28.71%3.48momio equitativo
EV +0.501%
Ventaja +0.143%
Kelly +0.201%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.37%28.71%28.76%31.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.223.233.5037.04%31.02%30.96%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 31.10%3.22momio equitativo
EV -0.473%
Ventaja -0.148%
Kelly -0.215%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.35%31.11%31.11%33.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.963.003.2036.36%33.74%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.59%EV -2.76%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV +0.501%E +0.143%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.04%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.37%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.91%EV -0.360%E -0.104%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.72%EV -7.94%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:27 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -15.62%E -7.44%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -15.62%E -7.44%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -15.62%E -7.44%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.14%EV -6.78%E -2.92%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -2.37%E -0.697%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.27%EV -2.76%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -2.37%E -0.697%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.77%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -2.37%E -0.697%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.50%EV -16.82%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -2.37%E -0.697%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.54%EV -5.17%E -2.19%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.18%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 17:28 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 17:28 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.31%EV -18.83%E -9.32%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.51%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.17%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.68%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.68%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -0.473%E -0.148%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -6.68%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.25%EV -2.76%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.41%EV -7.25%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.35%EV -5.76%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.94%EV -6.78%E -2.92%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -7.32%E -2.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.94%EV -6.78%E -2.92%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -7.32%E -2.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.23%EV -12.80%E -5.90%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.13%EV -8.69%E -2.73%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.64%EV -9.18%E -3.14%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-06 17:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -11.60%E -5.27%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -14.47%E -5.26%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.60%E -5.27%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.61%E -6.33%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -12.42%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -11.36%E -3.99%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.53%EV -13.61%E -6.33%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.57%EV -12.42%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.90%EV -12.29%E -4.36%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -16.73%E -5.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -16.73%E -5.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -16.73%E -5.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -16.73%E -5.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.85%EV -15.62%E -7.44%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.58%EV -16.73%E -5.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.58%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -22.47%E -8.32%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.63% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44% | 2.7% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |