La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Carrarese v Spezia
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Carrarese (Casa)
Previsione 40.18%2.49quota equa
EV -1.15%
Vantaggio -0.467%
Kelly -0.787%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.46
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.41%40.17%40.13%43.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.022.262.302.4649.50%44.33%43.48%40.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Spezia (Trasferta)
Previsione 28.71%3.48quota equa
EV +0.501%
Vantaggio +0.143%
Kelly +0.201%
Crescita +0.001%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.37%28.71%28.76%31.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.703.223.233.5037.04%31.02%30.96%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 31.10%3.22quota equa
EV -0.473%
Vantaggio -0.148%
Kelly -0.215%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.35%31.11%31.11%33.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.963.003.2036.36%33.74%33.33%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.59%EV -2.76%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.37%EV +0.501%E +0.143%K +0.201%G +0.001% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.04%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.37%EV -1.15%E -0.467%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.91%EV -0.360%E -0.104%K -0.146%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.72%EV -7.94%E -2.68%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| BetRivers | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:27 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Unibet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.30%EV -14.81%E -6.99%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -15.62%E -7.44%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -15.62%E -7.44%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.31%EV -15.62%E -7.44%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.37%EV -0.934%E -0.271%K -0.381%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.32%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.14%EV -6.78%E -2.92%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -2.37%E -0.697%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.79%EV -3.58%E -1.16%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.27%EV -2.76%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -2.37%E -0.697%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.77%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.41%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -2.37%E -0.697%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.07I 48.31%NM 43.50%EV -16.82%E -8.13%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -2.37%E -0.697%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.02%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.54%EV -5.17%E -2.19%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.18%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 17:28 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.19%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.90%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 17:28 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.31%EV -18.83%E -9.32%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.51%EV -5.24%E -1.59%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.17%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.99%EV -6.68%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.68%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -0.473%E -0.148%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| theScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -6.68%E -2.05%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -5.14%E -1.68%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.25%EV -2.76%E -1.14%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.41%EV -7.25%E -2.25%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.35%EV -5.76%E -1.90%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| BetMGM | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Betsson | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.94%EV -6.78%E -2.92%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -7.32%E -2.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.94%EV -6.78%E -2.92%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -7.32%E -2.45%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -8.11%E -2.54%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.23%EV -12.80%E -5.90%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 28.13%EV -8.69%E -2.73%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.64%EV -9.18%E -3.14%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-06 17:25 |
| Coolbet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.62%EV -3.56%E -1.48%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -2.03%E -0.644%K -0.943%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -11.60%E -5.27%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -9.55%E -3.03%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.35%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.83%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| Betway | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.58%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -14.47%E -5.26%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -11.60%E -5.27%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -10.98%E -3.54%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.66%EV -13.61%E -6.33%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.66%EV -12.42%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.67%EV -11.36%E -3.99%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.53%EV -13.61%E -6.33%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.57%EV -12.42%E -4.07%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 30.90%EV -12.29%E -4.36%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -5.57%E -2.37%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.52%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.27%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.62%EV -8.25%E -2.80%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| Neds | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -10.43%E -3.62%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -9.59%E -4.26%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.60%EV -13.86%E -4.62%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.94%EV -10.74%E -3.74%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| William Hill | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -16.73%E -5.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -16.73%E -5.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -16.73%E -5.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -4.36%E -1.83%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -16.73%E -5.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.69%E -2.23%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-06 17:29 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.85%EV -15.62%E -7.44%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.58%EV -16.73%E -5.77%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.58%EV -9.80%E -3.38%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -7.58%E -3.30%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.87%EV -22.47%E -8.32%K -13.22%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.73%EV -12.91%E -4.61%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.36% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.55% | 0.7% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.27% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.93% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.63% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.44% | 2.7% | 2026-04-06 17:30 |