A Escola das Oddsodds.school
Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Carrarese v Benevento

Início: 2026-09-19 13:02 UTC

Final: Carrarese 0–1 Benevento

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Carrarese (Local)

Previsão 32.57%3.07odd justa
EV -3.91%
Vantagem -1.33%
Kelly -2.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.13%32.56%32.52%33.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.552.802.802.9539.22%35.69%35.71%33.90%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Benevento (Visitante)

Previsão 39.43%2.54odd justa
EV -2.21%
Vantagem -0.891%
Kelly -1.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.00%39.35%39.44%40.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.102.342.352.4847.62%42.66%42.55%40.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 28.00%3.57odd justa
EV -2.02%
Vantagem -0.576%
Kelly -0.806%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.08%28.10%28.04%30.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.273.303.5033.33%30.62%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Carrarese (Local): 32.57%; Benevento (Visitante): 39.43%; Empate: 28.00%. Para Empate, essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.57. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.50, com valor esperado de -2.02%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -3.91%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 10:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -3.91%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -16.01%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:35
Pinnacle🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.76%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.83%EV -2.21%E -0.891%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.41%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 13:30
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -2.02%E -0.576%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 13:01
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 20:26
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -6.15%E -2.58%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 10:05
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 13:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.58%EV -3.79%E -1.55%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 13:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.58%EV -3.79%E -1.55%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 13:04
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.58%EV -3.79%E -1.55%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 13:05
1xBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.36%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.30%EV -6.15%E -2.58%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-17 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.15%E -2.58%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.33%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45%EV -6.94%E -2.94%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 12:49
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.17%E -2.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 10:00
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.17%E -2.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 10:13
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.17%E -2.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 04:20
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.20%EV -7.17%E -2.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.56%EV -8.52%E -3.67%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 12:38
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.20%EV -7.17%E -2.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.56%EV -8.52%E -3.67%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 12:39
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.18%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:30
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.18%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:30
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.18%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:31
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.18%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:31
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.18%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.18%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:31
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.18%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.18%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.18%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 19:10
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 10:10
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 21:49
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 21:50
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 10:00
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 10:00
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 13:05
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 13:10
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.21%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.21%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.21%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 16:05
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.21%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 16:05
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 13:10
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-15 10:01
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 13:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-17 07:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-18 04:19
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-18 04:20
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-18 04:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 32.06%EV -11.08%E -4.06%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.15%EV -14.04%E -6.44%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -11.81%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-15 10:05
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 15:31
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.42%EV -8.12%E -3.49%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -11.81%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.42%EV -8.12%E -3.49%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -11.81%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 15:30
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-16 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -13.25%E -6.02%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-17 07:05
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -13.21%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-14 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -13.21%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-18 10:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -17.19%E -8.19%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -13.21%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-18 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.52%EV -13.68%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.29%EV -8.52%E -3.67%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -11.81%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 15:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.56%EV -16.94%E -6.64%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 38.38%EV -12.07%E -5.41%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%EV -14.61%E -4.79%K -7.13%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-14 15:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-09-18 13:20
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-09-18 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-09-18 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-09-18 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-09-18 13:20