L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Carrarese v Benevento

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 13:02 UTC

Score final : Carrarese 0–1 Benevento

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Carrarese (Local)

Prévision 32.57%3.07cote équitable
EV -3.91%
Avantage -1.33%
Kelly -2.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.13%32.56%32.52%33.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.552.802.802.9539.22%35.69%35.71%33.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Benevento (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.43%2.54cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -0.891%
Kelly -1.49%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.48

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.00%39.35%39.44%40.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.342.352.4847.62%42.66%42.55%40.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.00%3.57cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -0.576%
Kelly -0.806%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.08%28.10%28.04%30.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.273.303.5033.33%30.62%30.30%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Carrarese (Local) : 32.57% ; Benevento (Visiteur) : 39.43% ; Match nul : 28.00%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.57. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.50, pour une espérance de -2.02% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Codere (IT)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -3.91%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.69%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-15 10:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -3.91%E -1.33%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -16.01%E -5.34%K -8.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-18 14:35
Pinnacle🎯2.94I 34.01%NM 32.76%EV -4.24%E -1.44%K -2.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.83%EV -2.21%E -0.891%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.41%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-18 13:30
Coolbet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.79%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.28%EV -2.02%E -0.576%K -0.806%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 13:01
Fanatics🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-15 20:26
Unibet (UK)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.67%EV -6.15%E -2.58%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.77%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-15 10:05
DraftKings🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.31%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.16%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 13:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.58%EV -3.79%E -1.55%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 13:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.58%EV -3.79%E -1.55%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 13:04
BetUS🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -5.54%E -1.91%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.58%EV -3.79%E -1.55%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.96%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 13:05
1xBet🎯2.89I 34.60%NM 32.36%EV -5.87%E -2.03%K -3.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.30%EV -6.15%E -2.58%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.34%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-17 12:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -6.15%E -2.58%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-16 13:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.33%EV -6.19%E -2.15%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.45%EV -6.94%E -2.94%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.22%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-17 12:49
FanDuel🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -7.17%E -2.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 10:00
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.64%EV -7.17%E -2.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-18 10:13
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.17%E -2.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 04:20
NordicBet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.20%EV -7.17%E -2.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.56%EV -8.52%E -3.67%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 12:38
Betsson🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.20%EV -7.17%E -2.52%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.56%EV -8.52%E -3.67%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 12:39
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.18%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:30
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.18%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:30
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.18%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:31
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.18%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:31
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.18%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.18%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:31
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.18%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.18%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.40%EV -4.18%E -1.72%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.28%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-14 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 19:10
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 10:10
betfred_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -4.82%E -1.42%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-17 21:49
Bet Right🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-17 21:50
SportsBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.87%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.38%EV -6.22%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-15 10:00
Paddy Power🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 10:00
Bet Victor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 13:05
betano_uk🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.71%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 13:10
888sport🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.21%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.21%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.21%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 16:05
William Hill🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -5.36%E -2.23%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -13.21%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-14 16:05
PlayUp🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 13:10
theScore Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -8.80%E -3.14%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-15 10:01
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 13:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -7.62%E -2.31%K -3.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-17 07:06
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-18 04:19
Neds🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-18 04:20
Coral🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.43%E -3.79%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-18 04:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 32.06%EV -11.08%E -4.06%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.15%EV -14.04%E -6.44%K -11.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%EV -11.81%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-15 10:05
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.41%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.39%EV -7.33%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -10.41%E -3.25%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-14 15:31
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.42%EV -8.12%E -3.49%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -11.81%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 15:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.16%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.42%EV -8.12%E -3.49%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -11.81%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-14 15:30
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-16 13:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.70%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.13%EV -13.25%E -6.02%K -11.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.17%EV -9.01%E -2.77%K -4.01%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-17 07:05
BoyleSports🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -13.21%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-14 17:35
NetBet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.08%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -13.21%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-18 10:15
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -12.05%E -4.46%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -17.19%E -8.19%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -13.21%E -4.26%K -6.29%G +0.000%16.9%2026-09-18 13:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.52%EV -13.68%E -5.16%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.29%EV -8.52%E -3.67%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.20%EV -11.81%E -3.75%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-14 15:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 33.56%EV -16.94%E -6.64%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 38.38%EV -12.07%E -5.41%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%EV -14.61%E -4.79%K -7.13%G +0.000%16.8%2026-09-14 15:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-09-18 13:20
Matchbook◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-09-18 14:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-09-18 13:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-09-18 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 32.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.87%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-09-18 13:20