Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.97
assuming max odds 4.52
assuming max odds 3.58
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Benevento (Local): 49.12%; Südtirol (Visit): 23.15%; Draw: 27.73%. For Südtirol (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.32. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.64%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.18%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.42%EV +4.64%E +1.03%K +1.32%G +0.061% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.40%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -11.58%E -6.43%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV +1.87%E +0.424%K +0.549%G +0.010% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -10.11%E -5.52%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV +1.87%E +0.424%K +0.549%G +0.010% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 18:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%EV -10.60%E -5.82%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -0.449%E -0.105%K -0.136%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -1.61%E -0.378%K -0.494%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -6.28%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -2.76%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -2.76%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -2.76%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -2.76%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -11.58%E -6.43%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.76%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -11.58%E -6.43%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.76%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.34%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.12%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-30 18:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.25%EV -7.16%E -3.79%K -8.04%G +0.000% | 4.09I 24.45%NM 23.22%EV -5.31%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.53%EV -0.740%E -0.207%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -2.96%E -0.845%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 18:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -10.11%E -5.52%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 18:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.78%EV -11.58%E -6.43%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -16.82%E -5.61%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.36%EV -9.61%E -5.23%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 23.11%EV -9.02%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 18:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.36%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 18:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 18:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-30 18:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.02%EV -13.05%E -7.37%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.54%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.45%EV -15.43%E -5.06%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 15.3% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -12.03%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -12.03%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.10%EV -8.63%E -4.64%K -10.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -12.03%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 18:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -10.11%E -5.52%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.03%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -14.05%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-30 18:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.67%EV -13.54%E -7.70%K -17.82%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -12.03%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.18%E -3.52%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -7.12%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-30 18:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -13.18%E -3.52%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-30 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.18%E -3.52%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -12.66%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.10%EV -10.60%E -5.82%K -12.92%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -13.18%E -3.52%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-30 18:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-30 18:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.29%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -14.05%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -15.50%E -4.25%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -14.05%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -15.50%E -4.25%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -14.05%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 47.32%EV -11.09%E -6.13%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.13%EV -17.81%E -5.02%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.55%EV -16.82%E -5.61%K -8.41%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-08-30 18:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 1.4% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60% | 1.4% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.76% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.84% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 18:55 |