Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Benevento v Südtirol

Início: 2026-08-30 19:02 UTC

Final: Benevento 1–1 Südtirol

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Benevento (Local)

Previsão 49.12%2.04odd justa
EV -3.23%
Vantagem -1.64%
Kelly -3.33%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.97

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.27%49.22%49.13%51.16%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.761.881.911.9756.82%53.05%52.36%50.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Südtirol (Visitante)

Previsão 23.15%4.32odd justa
EV +4.64%
Vantagem +1.03%
Kelly +1.32%
Crescimento +0.061%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.92%22.99%23.18%24.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.553.953.904.5228.17%25.31%25.64%22.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 27.73%3.61odd justa
EV -0.740%
Vantagem -0.207%
Kelly -0.287%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.58

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.53%27.80%27.68%29.27%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.273.303.5833.33%30.55%30.30%27.93%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Benevento (Local): 49.12%; Südtirol (Visitante): 23.15%; Empate: 27.73%. Para Südtirol (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.32. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.52, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +4.64%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.18%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.52I 22.12%NM 21.42%EV +4.64%E +1.03%K +1.32%G +0.061%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.40%EV -5.45%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-30 18:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -11.58%E -6.43%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV +1.87%E +0.424%K +0.549%G +0.010%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 18:35
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -10.11%E -5.52%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV +1.87%E +0.424%K +0.549%G +0.010%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 18:39
SportsBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.42%EV -10.60%E -5.82%K -12.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.34%EV -0.449%E -0.105%K -0.136%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.44%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.96%EV -1.61%E -0.378%K -0.494%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.61%EV -6.28%E -1.86%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 18:45
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.59%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -2.76%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-30 18:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -2.76%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -2.76%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 18:50
BetUS🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -5.69%E -2.96%K -6.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -2.76%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 18:55
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -11.58%E -6.43%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.76%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%EV -11.58%E -6.43%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -2.76%E -0.658%K -0.864%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.26%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.19%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.56%EV -4.34%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.32%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 18:35
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.12%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.00%EV -7.12%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-30 18:54
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.25%EV -7.16%E -3.79%K -8.04%G +0.000%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.22%EV -5.31%E -1.30%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.53%EV -0.740%E -0.207%K -0.287%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 18:50
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.21%E -2.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -2.96%E -0.845%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 18:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 18:40
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 18:30
William Hill🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 18:50
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 18:50
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70%EV -10.11%E -5.52%K -12.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 18:54
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.78%EV -11.58%E -6.43%K -14.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -16.82%E -5.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 49.36%EV -9.61%E -5.23%K -11.45%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.11%EV -9.02%E -2.29%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 18:39
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.36%EV -3.23%E -1.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 18:25
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 18:25
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 18:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 18:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 18:25
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 18:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 18:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 18:25
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.49%EV -3.72%E -1.90%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -9.89%E -3.04%K -4.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-30 18:25
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -5.19%E -2.69%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.12%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 18:24
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -9.12%E -4.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -9.71%E -2.49%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 18:44
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-30 18:45
NetBet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 49.02%EV -13.05%E -7.37%K -16.95%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.54%EV -10.87%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.45%EV -15.43%E -5.06%K -7.53%G +0.000%15.3%2026-08-30 18:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -12.03%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 18:30
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -12.03%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-30 18:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 49.10%EV -8.63%E -4.64%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -12.03%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.86%EV -5.73%E -1.69%K -2.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 18:39
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.26%EV -10.11%E -5.52%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.24%EV -12.03%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -14.05%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%13.2%2026-08-30 18:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.67%EV -13.54%E -7.70%K -17.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.01%EV -12.03%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.32%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-30 18:40
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -13.18%E -3.52%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -7.12%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-30 18:30
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -13.18%E -3.52%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.27%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -13.18%E -3.52%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.66%EV -12.66%E -4.02%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-30 18:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.10%EV -10.60%E -5.82%K -12.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -13.18%E -3.52%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -8.50%E -2.58%K -3.70%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-30 18:50
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:25
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.32%EV -6.18%E -3.23%K -6.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.43%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%EV -11.28%E -3.52%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 18:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 47.29%EV -7.65%E -4.07%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -14.34%E -3.88%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.68%EV -14.05%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-30 18:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -15.50%E -4.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -14.05%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 18:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.27%EV -8.14%E -4.35%K -9.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.22%EV -15.50%E -4.25%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.51%EV -14.05%E -4.53%K -6.69%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-30 18:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 47.32%EV -11.09%E -6.13%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.13%EV -17.81%E -5.02%K -6.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.55%EV -16.82%E -5.61%K -8.41%G +0.000%16.8%2026-08-30 18:25
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-08-30 18:55
Matchbook◎1.94I 51.55%NM 51.06%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.64%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.30%1.0%2026-08-30 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.4%2026-08-30 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.85%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.55%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.60%1.4%2026-08-30 18:55
Smarkets◎1.93I 51.81%NM 50.76%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.84%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.40%2.1%2026-08-30 18:55