Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.57
assuming max odds 3.10
assuming max odds 3.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Benevento (Local): 38.46%; Modena (Visit): 32.78%; Draw: 28.76%. For Modena (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.05. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.61%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -14.24%E -6.38%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV +1.61%E +0.521%K +0.769%G +0.012% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 09:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -14.24%E -6.38%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV +1.61%E +0.521%K +0.769%G +0.012% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 09:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -14.24%E -6.38%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV +1.61%E +0.521%K +0.769%G +0.012% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 10:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -14.24%E -6.38%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV +1.61%E +0.521%K +0.769%G +0.012% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 09:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -14.24%E -6.38%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV +1.61%E +0.521%K +0.769%G +0.012% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 10:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -14.24%E -6.38%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV +1.61%E +0.521%K +0.769%G +0.012% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 09:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -14.24%E -6.38%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV +1.61%E +0.521%K +0.769%G +0.012% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 10:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -14.24%E -6.38%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV +1.61%E +0.521%K +0.769%G +0.012% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 09:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -14.24%E -6.38%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV +1.61%E +0.521%K +0.769%G +0.012% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 10:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -1.66%E -0.554%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-20 19:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -11.55%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -1.66%E -0.554%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-21 19:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -13.47%E -5.99%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -1.66%E -0.554%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 13:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -13.47%E -5.99%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -1.66%E -0.554%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 13:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 41.75%EV -16.93%E -7.84%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -1.66%E -0.554%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-19 09:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.77%EV -5.39%E -2.19%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.33%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-22 06:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.58%EV -17.70%E -8.27%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-19 09:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.62%EV -18.47%E -8.71%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.91%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-19 10:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.62%EV -18.47%E -8.71%K -16.49%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.91%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-19 10:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -6.16%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 12:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -6.16%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 13:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -6.16%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-22 12:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.46%EV -1.16%E -0.452%K -0.740%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.35%EV -5.66%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 14:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 06:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 10:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.40%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.67%EV -7.10%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-22 07:04 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -13.47%E -5.99%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -5.60%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-22 13:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -8.47%E -3.56%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 06:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -8.47%E -3.56%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 06:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-22 14:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 41.50%EV -20.78%E -10.09%K -19.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.00%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-08-19 09:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.93%EV -5.39%E -2.19%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.09%EV -7.56%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -7.38%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 14:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 37.93%EV -5.39%E -2.19%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.09%EV -7.56%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -7.38%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-22 14:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.21%E -0.649%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 14:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.55%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-22 06:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -9.86%E -3.58%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 13:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.86%E -3.58%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.86%E -3.58%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-22 06:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.86%E -3.58%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 07:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-22 13:23 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -11.55%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 06:13 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -11.55%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-22 09:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.96%EV -11.55%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -8.47%E -3.56%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -13.79%E -5.24%K -8.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-22 13:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -8.85%E -3.74%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -8.85%E -3.74%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-22 13:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 15:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 0.5% | 2026-08-22 15:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.51% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.94% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55% | 2.5% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |