Benevento v Modena

2026-08-22 15:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

36%

35%

29%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Benevento (Local)

Prediction 35.84%2.79fair odd

EV -5.03%

Edge -1.90%

Kelly -3.05%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

35.69%35.84%35.84%36.56%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.302.472.502.6543%41%40%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Modena (Visit)

Prediction 35.17%2.84fair odd

EV -5.03%

Edge -1.86%

Kelly -2.96%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

34.15%35.17%35.17%35.98%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.402.582.622.7042%39%38%37%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.99%3.45fair odd

EV -1.44%

Edge -0.423%

Kelly -0.599%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.04%28.99%28.99%29.94%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.883.013.003.4035%33%33%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -5.03%E -1.90%K -3.05%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.98%EV -6.79%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 28.04%EV -1.44%E -0.423%K -0.599%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-07-23 23:04
FanDuel	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.69%EV -6.83%E -2.63%K -4.27%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -5.03%E -1.86%K -2.96%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -10.13%E -3.27%K -4.83%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-23 20:00
SportsBet	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.74%EV -8.62%E -3.38%K -5.56%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.39%EV -6.79%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.88%EV -11.58%E -3.80%K -5.65%G +0.000%	9.7%	2026-07-23 20:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.50I 40.00%NM 35.92%EV -10.41%E -4.16%K -6.94%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 34.15%EV -7.49%E -2.85%K -4.60%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.52%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-07-23 20:00
Paddy Power	2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.41%E -4.16%K -6.94%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.84%E -2.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.52%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-07-23 19:59
1xBet	2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.41%E -4.16%K -6.94%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.23%EV -7.84%E -2.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 29.90%EV -13.03%E -4.34%K -6.52%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-07-23 20:00
Sky Bet	2.40I 41.67%NM 35.80%EV -13.99%E -5.83%K -10.00%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 34.37%EV -12.06%E -4.83%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 29.83%EV -16.51%E -5.73%K -8.78%G +0.000%	16.4%	2026-07-23 22:30
Unibet (FR)	2.35I 42.55%NM 36.36%EV -15.79%E -6.72%K -11.69%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -12.06%E -4.83%K -8.04%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 29.46%EV -15.93%E -5.49%K -8.38%G +0.000%	17.0%	2026-07-23 19:59
Betclic (FR)	2.32I 43.10%NM 36.56%EV -16.86%E -7.27%K -12.77%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 34.20%EV -12.77%E -5.15%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 29.25%EV -15.93%E -5.49%K -8.38%G +0.000%	17.9%	2026-07-23 20:03
Winamax (FR)	2.30I 43.48%NM 36.34%EV -17.58%E -7.64%K -13.52%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 34.83%EV -15.58%E -6.49%K -11.13%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 28.83%EV -15.93%E -5.49%K -8.38%G +0.000%	19.6%	2026-07-23 20:00

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.