Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Benevento v Modena

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 19:06 UTC

Score final : Benevento 1–2 Modena

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Benevento (Local)

Prévision 38.46%2.60cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.452%
Kelly -0.740%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.15%38.53%38.58%41.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.062.352.382.5748.54%42.64%42.02%38.91%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Modena (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.78%3.05cote équitable
EV +1.61%
Avantage +0.521%
Kelly +0.769%
Croissance +0.012%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.91%32.73%32.69%34.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.622.872.853.1038.17%34.87%35.09%32.26%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 28.76%3.48cote équitable
EV -2.21%
Avantage -0.649%
Kelly -0.920%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.80%28.73%28.73%30.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.203.233.4033.33%31.29%30.96%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Benevento (Local) : 38.46% ; Modena (Visiteur) : 32.78% ; Match nul : 28.76%. Pour Modena (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.05. 9 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.10, soit une espérance positive de +1.61%.

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -14.24%E -6.38%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV +1.61%E +0.521%K +0.769%G +0.012%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 09:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -14.24%E -6.38%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV +1.61%E +0.521%K +0.769%G +0.012%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 09:59
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -14.24%E -6.38%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV +1.61%E +0.521%K +0.769%G +0.012%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 10:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -14.24%E -6.38%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV +1.61%E +0.521%K +0.769%G +0.012%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 09:59
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -14.24%E -6.38%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV +1.61%E +0.521%K +0.769%G +0.012%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 10:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -14.24%E -6.38%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV +1.61%E +0.521%K +0.769%G +0.012%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 09:59
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -14.24%E -6.38%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV +1.61%E +0.521%K +0.769%G +0.012%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 10:00
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -14.24%E -6.38%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV +1.61%E +0.521%K +0.769%G +0.012%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 09:59
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.75%EV -14.24%E -6.38%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.03%EV +1.61%E +0.521%K +0.769%G +0.012%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 10:00
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.11%EV -1.66%E -0.554%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.17%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-20 19:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.23%EV -11.55%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -1.66%E -0.554%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-21 19:04
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.58%EV -13.47%E -5.99%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -1.66%E -0.554%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.99%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:15
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -13.47%E -5.99%K -10.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -1.66%E -0.554%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 13:14
BetRivers🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 41.75%EV -16.93%E -7.84%K -14.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.06%EV -1.66%E -0.554%K -0.831%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-19 09:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.77%EV -5.39%E -2.19%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.33%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-22 06:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.58%EV -17.70%E -8.27%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.17%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-19 09:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.62%EV -18.47%E -8.71%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.91%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-19 10:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 41.62%EV -18.47%E -8.71%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.91%EV -3.30%E -1.12%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.46%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-19 10:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -6.16%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 12:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -6.16%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 13:00
BetUS🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.66%EV -6.16%E -2.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.31%EV -4.29%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.03%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-22 12:54
Pinnacle🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 37.46%EV -1.16%E -0.452%K -0.740%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.19%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.35%EV -5.66%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 14:05
Fanatics🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 13:24
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 06:14
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.97%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.25%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 10:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.40%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.93%EV -4.94%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.67%EV -7.10%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 07:04
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.51%EV -13.47%E -5.99%K -10.77%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -5.60%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.63%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-22 13:14
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -8.47%E -3.56%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 06:15
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.60%EV -8.47%E -3.56%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 06:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 14:14
PMU (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 41.50%EV -20.78%E -10.09%K -19.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.00%EV -6.58%E -2.31%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-19 09:59
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.93%EV -5.39%E -2.19%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.09%EV -7.56%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -7.38%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 14:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 37.93%EV -5.39%E -2.19%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.09%EV -7.56%E -2.68%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 28.98%EV -7.38%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 14:09
Coolbet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -3.85%E -1.54%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.97%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -2.21%E -0.649%K -0.920%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 14:29
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.69%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 14:04
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 13:19
888sport🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 13:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.51%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 13:19
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.01%EV -11.55%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -8.22%E -2.94%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.94%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-22 06:15
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.69%EV -9.86%E -3.58%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:24
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.42%EV -9.86%E -3.58%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -9.62%E -4.09%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -9.86%E -3.58%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 06:15
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.97%EV -9.86%E -3.58%K -5.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.25%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 07:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.74%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.24%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.02%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-22 14:25
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -5.78%E -2.36%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.10%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.33%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 14:25
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.22%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.98%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:25
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:25
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 13:23
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -11.55%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.28%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 06:13
BoyleSports🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.19%EV -11.55%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -11.50%E -4.26%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-22 09:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -7.70%E -3.21%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.10%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.24%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 14:25
NetBet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.96%EV -11.55%E -5.02%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -13.14%E -4.96%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.10%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%14.5%2026-08-22 15:00
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.42%EV -8.47%E -3.56%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.86%EV -13.79%E -5.24%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 13:20
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -8.85%E -3.74%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.47%EV -8.85%E -3.74%K -6.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.89%EV -14.12%E -5.39%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.64%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%12.6%2026-08-22 13:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-08-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-08-22 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-08-22 15:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%0.5%2026-08-22 15:15
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 37.51%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.94%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.55%2.5%2026-08-22 15:20