La scuola delle quote

Bari v Virtus Entella

Inizio: 2026-05-01 13:02 UTC

Finale: Bari 2–0 Virtus Entella

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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50 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Bari (Casa)

Previsione 31.32%3.19quota equa
EV +0.208%
Vantaggio +0.065%
Kelly +0.095%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.41%31.29%31.27%33.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.902.903.2038.02%34.50%34.48%31.25%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Virtus Entella (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.76%2.65quota equa
EV -0.325%
Vantaggio -0.123%
Kelly -0.198%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.64

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.09%37.63%37.93%40.59%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.442.452.6447.62%40.98%40.82%37.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 30.93%3.23quota equa
EV -2.57%
Vantaggio -0.817%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.15

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
29.30%31.07%30.80%33.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.973.003.1536.36%33.66%33.33%31.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV +0.208%E +0.065%K +0.095%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Pinnacle3.16I 31.65%NM 30.50%EV -1.04%E -0.330%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.50%EV -0.325%E -0.123%K -0.198%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.00%EV -9.69%E -3.32%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 12:59
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -2.92%E -0.943%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.65%EV -2.21%E -0.854%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -2.92%E -0.943%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 12:59
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -2.92%E -0.943%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -4.49%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.08%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 13:00
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.49%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 13:00
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -4.80%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -4.86%E -1.93%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.28%EV -10.61%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 12:58
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.57%E -0.817%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 13:00
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.12%EV -2.59%E -1.00%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.81%EV -12.16%E -4.28%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 12:59
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.12%EV -2.59%E -1.00%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.81%EV -12.16%E -4.28%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 12:59
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -3.72%E -1.46%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 12:59
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 30.70%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.40%EV -4.48%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.89%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -14.94%E -5.43%K -8.54%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -20.71%E -9.86%K -18.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -14.94%E -5.43%K -8.54%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-01 13:00
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -6.68%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -8.63%E -3.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 13:00
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -6.68%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -8.63%E -3.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 12:59
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 12:59
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 12:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 12:59
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -14.94%E -5.43%K -8.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 13:00
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.81%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.81%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -13.16%E -5.72%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.13%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -13.16%E -5.72%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -10.75%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.75%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -11.27%E -4.80%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -11.27%E -4.80%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-01 12:58
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.52%E -4.44%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.99%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.56%EV -15.05%E -6.69%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.45%EV -11.85%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:00
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 12:59
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -13.16%E -5.72%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 13:00
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.44%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 12:59
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -15.45%E -5.72%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -15.45%E -5.72%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -15.45%E -5.72%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -8.25%E -3.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 13:00
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.54%EV -17.64%E -6.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.06%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%0.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%1.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.67%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65%2.1%2026-05-01 13:00