La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Bari v Virtus Entella
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Bari (Local)
Predicción 31.32%3.19momio equitativo
EV +0.208%
Ventaja +0.065%
Kelly +0.095%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.41%31.29%31.27%33.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.902.903.2038.02%34.50%34.48%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Virtus Entella (Visitante)
Predicción 37.76%2.65momio equitativo
EV -0.325%
Ventaja -0.123%
Kelly -0.198%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.09%37.63%37.93%40.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.442.452.6447.62%40.98%40.82%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 30.93%3.23momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -0.817%
Kelly -1.20%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.30%31.07%30.80%33.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.973.003.1536.36%33.66%33.33%31.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV +0.208%E +0.065%K +0.095%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Pinnacle | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.50%EV -1.04%E -0.330%K -0.483%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.50%EV -0.325%E -0.123%K -0.198%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.00%EV -9.69%E -3.32%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| 1xBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -2.92%E -0.943%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 36.65%EV -2.21%E -0.854%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -2.92%E -0.943%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| SportsBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -2.92%E -0.943%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -4.49%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.08%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| DraftKings | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.49%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -4.80%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -4.86%E -1.93%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.28%EV -10.61%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.57%E -0.817%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.12%EV -2.59%E -1.00%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.81%EV -12.16%E -4.28%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.12%EV -2.59%E -1.00%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 32.81%EV -12.16%E -4.28%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -3.72%E -1.46%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.70%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.40%EV -4.48%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.89%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Sky Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -14.94%E -5.43%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -20.71%E -9.86%K -18.83%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -14.94%E -5.43%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betsson | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -6.68%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -8.63%E -3.57%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -6.68%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -8.63%E -3.57%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -14.94%E -5.43%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.81%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Neds | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.81%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -13.16%E -5.72%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Coral | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.13%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -13.16%E -5.72%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -10.75%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.75%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -11.27%E -4.80%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -11.27%E -4.80%K -8.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-01 12:58 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.52%E -4.44%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.99%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.56%EV -15.05%E -6.69%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.45%EV -11.85%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Unibet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| BetRivers | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Casumo | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -13.16%E -5.72%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| BoyleSports | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -15.45%E -5.72%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 12:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -15.45%E -5.72%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -15.45%E -5.72%K -9.09%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -8.25%E -3.40%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.54%EV -17.64%E -6.71%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.06%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47% | 1.0% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.67% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65% | 2.1% | 2026-05-01 13:00 |