L’École des cotes

Bari v Virtus Entella

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-01 13:02 UTC

Score final : Bari 2–0 Virtus Entella

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bari (Local)

Prévision 31.32%3.19cote équitable
EV +0.208%
Avantage +0.065%
Kelly +0.095%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.41%31.29%31.27%33.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.902.903.2038.02%34.50%34.48%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Virtus Entella (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.76%2.65cote équitable
EV -0.325%
Avantage -0.123%
Kelly -0.198%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.09%37.63%37.93%40.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.442.452.6447.62%40.98%40.82%37.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 30.93%3.23cote équitable
EV -2.57%
Avantage -0.817%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.30%31.07%30.80%33.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.973.003.1536.36%33.66%33.33%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.56%EV +0.208%E +0.065%K +0.095%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.83%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Pinnacle3.16I 31.65%NM 30.50%EV -1.04%E -0.330%K -0.483%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.50%EV -0.325%E -0.123%K -0.198%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.00%EV -9.69%E -3.32%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-01 12:59
1xBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.62%EV -2.92%E -0.943%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.65%EV -2.21%E -0.854%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.73%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.65%EV -2.92%E -0.943%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.83%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-01 12:59
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -2.92%E -0.943%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Codere (IT)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.21%EV -4.49%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.08%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-01 13:00
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -4.49%E -1.47%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.29%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 13:00
Marathon Bet3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -4.80%E -1.58%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.02%EV -4.86%E -1.93%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.28%EV -10.61%E -3.67%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-01 12:58
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.72%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.07%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.21%EV -2.57%E -0.817%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.17%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.17%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-01 13:00
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.12%EV -2.59%E -1.00%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.81%EV -12.16%E -4.28%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 12:59
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.06%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.12%EV -2.59%E -1.00%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.81%EV -12.16%E -4.28%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-01 12:59
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 30.98%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.05%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -3.72%E -1.46%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-01 12:59
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 30.70%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.40%EV -4.48%E -1.77%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.89%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-01 12:59
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.44%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.61%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.55%EV -14.94%E -5.43%K -8.54%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -6.05%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -20.71%E -9.86%K -18.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -14.94%E -5.43%K -8.54%G +0.000%17.3%2026-05-01 13:00
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -6.68%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -8.63%E -3.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 13:00
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.01%EV -6.68%E -2.24%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.19%EV -8.63%E -3.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.80%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-01 12:59
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-01 12:59
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 12:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.18%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-01 12:59
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -9.19%E -3.17%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.09%EV -5.61%E -2.24%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -14.94%E -5.43%K -8.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-01 13:00
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -9.81%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Neds2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -9.81%E -3.41%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.98%EV -13.16%E -5.72%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-01 12:59
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -10.13%E -3.53%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.94%EV -13.16%E -5.72%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.85%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-01 13:00
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -10.75%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.17%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.75%E -3.77%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.53%EV -11.27%E -4.80%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.69%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-01 12:59
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.57%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.00%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.42%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-01 13:00
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.26%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.63%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.11%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-01 12:59
Betclic (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.84%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.94%EV -11.27%E -4.80%K -8.35%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-01 12:58
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.54%EV -10.52%E -4.44%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.31%E -3.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.99%EV -12.32%E -4.40%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.56%EV -15.05%E -6.69%K -12.04%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.45%EV -11.85%E -4.16%K -6.41%G +0.000%15.2%2026-05-01 12:59
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:00
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 12:59
BetRivers2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 12:59
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 33.38%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.01%EV -6.37%E -2.57%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-01 13:00
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.23%EV -13.16%E -5.72%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -8.76%E -2.97%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 13:00
BoyleSports2.75I 36.36%NM 31.97%EV -13.88%E -5.05%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.63%EV -9.39%E -3.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.40%EV -13.40%E -4.79%K -7.44%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-01 12:59
LiveScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -15.45%E -5.72%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 12:59
Virgin Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 33.64%EV -15.45%E -5.72%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.07%EV -7.50%E -3.06%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.30%EV -4.12%E -1.33%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-01 13:00
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04%NM 33.37%EV -15.45%E -5.72%K -9.09%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.08%EV -8.25%E -3.40%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -5.67%E -1.86%K -2.76%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-01 13:00
PMU (FR)2.63I 38.02%NM 33.54%EV -17.64%E -6.71%K -10.82%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.06%EV -10.14%E -4.26%K -7.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -7.21%E -2.40%K -3.61%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-01 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.70%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62%0.5%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.86%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-05-01 13:00
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.01%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.52%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.47%1.0%2026-05-01 13:00
Smarkets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.68%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.67%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65%2.1%2026-05-01 13:00