Language:English
Bari v Empoli
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bari (Local)
Prediction 31.53%3.17fair odd
EV +2.16%
Edge +0.667%
Kelly +0.965%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 3.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.59%31.46%31.58%32.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.922.923.2437.04%34.22%34.25%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Empoli (Visit)
Prediction 39.03%2.56fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.16%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.98%39.06%39.10%39.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.352.4846.51%42.64%42.55%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.44%3.40fair odd
EV +0.084%
Edge +0.025%
Kelly +0.035%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.47%29.48%29.32%31.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.703.103.133.4037.04%32.29%32.00%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bari (Local): 31.53%; Empoli (Visit): 39.03%; Draw: 29.44%. For Bari (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.16%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.59%EV +2.16%E +0.667%K +0.965%G +0.021% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.29%EV -4.76%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -9.34%E -3.03%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.59%EV +2.16%E +0.667%K +0.965%G +0.021% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.29%EV -4.76%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -9.34%E -3.03%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.45%EV +0.270%E +0.085%K +0.124%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.20%EV -3.59%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.35%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -2.25%E -0.727%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.32%E -2.63%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -2.25%E -0.727%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.32%E -2.63%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.25%E -0.727%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -13.16%E -4.46%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV -5.15%E -2.12%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 18:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -14.63%E -5.05%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.32%E -2.63%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.32%E -2.63%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -5.54%E -2.29%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 18:57 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -5.54%E -2.29%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 18:58 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.71%EV -7.93%E -2.72%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.98%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.71%EV -7.93%E -2.72%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.98%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.33%EV -3.20%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.89%EV -3.15%E -0.959%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.32%E -2.63%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.32%E -2.63%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.32%E -2.63%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.32%E -2.63%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -11.01%E -4.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -11.01%E -4.83%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.63%E -5.05%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -12.18%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV +0.084%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -14.63%E -5.05%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.10%E -2.98%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.10%E -2.98%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 18:58 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -12.18%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -12.18%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -12.18%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -13.29%E -4.83%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.18%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.33%EV -13.29%E -4.83%K -7.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 38.79%EV -16.08%E -7.48%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.89%EV -20.52%E -7.60%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-04 18:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -14.86%E -5.51%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -14.13%E -6.42%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.82%EV -14.86%E -5.51%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.05%EV -14.13%E -6.42%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.12%EV -13.16%E -4.46%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-03-04 18:58 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77% | 1.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29% | 1.6% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68% | 1.9% | 2026-03-04 19:00 |