La escuela de los momios

Bari v Empoli

Inicio: 2026-03-04 19:02 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bari (Local)

Predicción 31.53%3.17momio equitativo
EV +2.16%
Ventaja +0.667%
Kelly +0.965%
Crecimiento +0.021%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.59%31.46%31.58%32.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.922.923.2437.04%34.22%34.25%30.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empoli (Visitante)

Predicción 39.03%2.56momio equitativo
EV -3.20%
Ventaja -1.29%
Kelly -2.16%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.98%39.06%39.10%39.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.342.352.4846.51%42.64%42.55%40.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 29.44%3.40momio equitativo
EV +0.084%
Ventaja +0.025%
Kelly +0.035%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.47%29.48%29.32%31.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.103.133.4037.04%32.29%32.00%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LowVig.ag3.24I 30.86%NM 29.59%EV +2.16%E +0.667%K +0.965%G +0.021%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.29%EV -4.76%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -9.34%E -3.03%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 19:00
BetOnline.ag3.24I 30.86%NM 29.59%EV +2.16%E +0.667%K +0.965%G +0.021%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.29%EV -4.76%E -1.95%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.12%EV -9.34%E -3.03%K -4.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 18:59
Pinnacle3.18I 31.45%NM 30.45%EV +0.270%E +0.085%K +0.124%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 39.20%EV -3.59%E -1.45%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.35%EV -6.10%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-04 18:59
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -2.25%E -0.727%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.32%E -2.63%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 18:59
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -2.25%E -0.727%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.32%E -2.63%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 18:59
Tipico (DE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -2.25%E -0.727%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -13.16%E -4.46%K -6.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
Codere (IT)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.33%EV -4.33%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-04 19:00
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 18:59
Marathon Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.36%EV -5.15%E -2.12%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -10.22%E -3.35%K -4.98%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 18:58
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 19:00
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -5.41%E -1.80%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.07%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.98%EV -14.63%E -5.05%K -7.70%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 19:00
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.32%E -2.63%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 19:00
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.44%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.64%EV -6.32%E -2.63%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.92%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-04 19:00
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -5.54%E -2.29%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 18:57
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.07%EV -5.54%E -2.29%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-04 18:59
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 18:58
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 39.64%EV -9.45%E -4.07%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 19:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.06%EV -6.98%E -2.37%K -3.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.09%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 19:00
NordicBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.71%EV -7.93%E -2.72%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.98%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 18:59
Betsson2.92I 34.25%NM 31.71%EV -7.93%E -2.72%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.90%EV -7.10%E -2.98%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.39%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 19:00
1xBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.33%EV -3.20%E -1.29%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.89%EV -3.15%E -0.959%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 18:59
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.64%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -2.86%E -0.867%K -1.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 19:00
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 18:59
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.32%E -2.63%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 18:59
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.32%E -2.63%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 18:59
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.32%E -2.63%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 18:59
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -6.32%E -2.63%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 18:59
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -11.01%E -4.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 19:00
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -11.01%E -4.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-04 19:00
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -8.56%E -2.95%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.67%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -14.63%E -5.05%K -7.70%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-04 19:00
LeoVegas2.88I 34.72%NM 31.16%EV -9.19%E -3.19%K -4.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -12.18%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.95%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-04 19:00
DraftKings2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV +0.084%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 19:00
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.90%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.02%EV -7.28%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-04 18:59
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.79%EV -10.14%E -3.56%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.98%EV -4.37%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -14.63%E -5.05%K -7.70%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-04 19:00
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.10%E -2.98%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 19:00
Bet Victor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.77%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -7.10%E -2.98%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 18:58
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.19%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-04 18:59
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -12.18%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -5.80%E -1.81%K -2.64%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-04 19:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-04 19:00
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.64%EV -10.23%E -4.45%K -7.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.62%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-04 19:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -12.18%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-04 18:59
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.47%EV -11.71%E -4.18%K -6.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%EV -12.18%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.37%EV -11.69%E -3.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%13.5%2026-03-04 19:00
Betclic (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -13.29%E -4.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.18%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%13.1%2026-03-04 19:00
PMU (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.33%EV -13.29%E -4.83%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.79%EV -16.08%E -7.48%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.89%EV -20.52%E -7.60%K -12.07%G +0.000%19.9%2026-03-04 18:59
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.28%EV -14.86%E -5.51%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.61%EV -14.13%E -6.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.11%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000%14.7%2026-03-04 19:00
NetBet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 31.82%EV -14.86%E -5.51%K -8.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.05%EV -14.13%E -6.42%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.12%EV -13.16%E -4.46%K -6.75%G +0.000%16.4%2026-03-04 18:58
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-03-04 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92%1.1%2026-03-04 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.77%1.6%2026-03-04 19:00
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.25%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.46%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.29%1.6%2026-03-04 19:00
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.65%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.68%1.9%2026-03-04 19:00