Language:English
Avellino v Südtirol
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Avellino (Local)
Prediction 40.20%2.49fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.617%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.32%40.09%40.23%41.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.302.302.4548.78%43.51%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Südtirol (Visit)
Prediction 26.13%3.83fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +0.494%
Kelly +0.664%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 3.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.83%26.21%25.95%28.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.433.403.9031.25%29.12%29.41%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 33.67%2.97fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.816%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.43%33.70%33.82%35.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.722.752.9042.55%36.78%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Avellino (Local): 40.20%; Südtirol (Visit): 26.13%; Draw: 33.67%. For Südtirol (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV +1.93%E +0.494%K +0.664%G +0.013% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -10.78%E -4.07%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 18:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.79%EV -4.73%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05%EV +0.880%E +0.228%K +0.308%G +0.003% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.16%EV -4.72%E -1.67%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.79%EV -5.93%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -0.688%E -0.181%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-18 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.79%EV -5.93%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -0.688%E -0.181%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-18 18:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -0.688%E -0.181%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -0.688%E -0.181%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -10.78%E -4.07%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -0.688%E -0.181%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -12.47%E -4.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -11.56%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -0.688%E -0.181%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -12.47%E -4.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -5.13%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -4.35%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.04%EV -10.45%E -3.93%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-18 18:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.07%EV -4.73%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.02%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-18 18:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -9.77%E -3.65%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-18 18:51 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -11.56%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -15.83%E -6.33%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.91%EV -8.43%E -3.10%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-18 18:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.91%EV -8.43%E -3.10%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-18 18:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.10%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.68%EV -17.59%E -8.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.83%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.49%EV -20.88%E -8.89%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.56%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.47%EV -10.11%E -3.79%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-18 18:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -1.51%E -0.617%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -2.37%E -0.816%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-18 18:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-18 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.36%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-18 18:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -10.78%E -4.07%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -13.57%E -6.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -10.78%E -4.07%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-18 18:15 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.42%EV -14.78%E -6.97%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.61%EV -14.15%E -5.55%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -2.37%E -0.816%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -6.34%E -2.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -11.46%E -4.36%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -11.79%E -4.50%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -11.79%E -4.50%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.56%EV -14.15%E -5.55%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-18 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.93%EV -6.74%E -2.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -16.37%E -5.12%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.84%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.93%EV -6.74%E -2.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -16.37%E -5.12%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.84%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -16.37%E -5.12%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.10%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.08%EV -15.58%E -7.42%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.96%EV -16.37%E -5.12%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.95%EV -9.10%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 0.5% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.41% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.41% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.41% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.91% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26% | 2.0% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |