La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Avellino v Südtirol
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Avellino (Local)
Predicción 40.20%2.49momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.617%
Kelly -1.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.32%40.09%40.23%41.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.302.302.4548.78%43.51%43.48%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Südtirol (Visitante)
Predicción 26.13%3.83momio equitativo
EV +1.93%
Ventaja +0.494%
Kelly +0.664%
Crecimiento +0.013%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.83%26.21%25.95%28.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.433.403.9031.25%29.12%29.41%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 33.67%2.97momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -0.816%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.43%33.70%33.82%35.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.352.722.752.9042.55%36.78%36.36%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV +1.93%E +0.494%K +0.664%G +0.013% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -10.78%E -4.07%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-18 18:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.79%EV -4.73%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.86I 25.91%NM 25.05%EV +0.880%E +0.228%K +0.308%G +0.003% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.16%EV -4.72%E -1.67%K -2.58%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.79%EV -5.93%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -0.688%E -0.181%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-18 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.79%EV -5.93%E -2.54%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.12%EV -0.688%E -0.181%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.09%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-18 18:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.44%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.01%EV -0.688%E -0.181%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.56%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -0.688%E -0.181%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -10.78%E -4.07%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -0.688%E -0.181%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -12.47%E -4.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.24%EV -11.56%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.87%EV -0.688%E -0.181%K -0.246%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -12.47%E -4.80%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-18 18:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -3.30%E -0.892%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.32%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.49%EV -5.13%E -2.17%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 25.47%EV -4.35%E -1.19%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.04%EV -10.45%E -3.93%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-18 18:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.07%EV -4.73%E -2.00%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.02%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-18 18:20 |
| BetUS | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.54%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.91%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Bovada | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.19%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.32%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.49%EV -9.77%E -3.65%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-18 18:51 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-18 18:15 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%EV -11.56%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -5.91%E -1.64%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%EV -15.83%E -6.33%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| NordicBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.91%EV -8.43%E -3.10%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-18 18:15 |
| Betsson | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -7.22%E -2.03%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.91%EV -8.43%E -3.10%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-18 18:15 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -9.10%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-18 18:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 40.68%EV -17.59%E -8.58%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.83%EV -8.53%E -2.44%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 35.49%EV -20.88%E -8.89%K -15.47%G +0.000% | 19.9% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -11.56%E -5.26%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.90%EV -9.83%E -2.85%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 33.47%EV -10.11%E -3.79%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-03-18 18:35 |
| Coolbet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.98%EV -1.51%E -0.617%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.93%EV -2.37%E -0.816%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -3.52%E -1.47%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-18 18:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -11.14%E -3.28%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.99%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-18 18:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.36%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.61%EV -12.45%E -3.72%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.03%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-18 18:35 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -10.78%E -4.07%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.60%EV -13.57%E -6.31%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.45%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.94%EV -10.78%E -4.07%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-03-18 18:15 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 40.42%EV -14.78%E -6.97%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 25.97%EV -13.76%E -4.17%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.61%EV -14.15%E -5.55%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| BetRivers | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -5.53%E -2.35%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.15%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -9.55%E -4.25%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -2.37%E -0.816%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.00%EV -6.34%E -2.72%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.96%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.04%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-18 18:50 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -11.46%E -4.36%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -11.79%E -4.50%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -11.79%E -4.50%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-18 18:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.32%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -15.06%E -4.63%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.56%EV -14.15%E -5.55%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-18 18:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.93%EV -6.74%E -2.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -16.37%E -5.12%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.84%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.93%EV -6.74%E -2.90%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -16.37%E -5.12%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.84%EV -7.42%E -2.70%K -4.24%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -7.54%E -3.28%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -16.37%E -5.12%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.10%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-18 18:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.08%EV -15.58%E -7.42%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.96%EV -16.37%E -5.12%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.95%EV -9.10%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.69% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.53% | 0.5% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.41% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.41% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.41% | 0.8% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.84% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.91% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.26% | 2.0% | 2026-03-18 18:55 |