A Escola das Odds

Avellino v Padova

Início: 2026-03-07 14:04 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

52 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Avellino (Local)

Previsão 44.13%2.27odd justa
EV -3.35%
Vantagem -1.53%
Kelly -2.82%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.38%44.23%43.93%45.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.902.082.102.1952.63%48.06%47.62%45.66%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Padova (Visitante)

Previsão 24.20%4.13odd justa
EV +2.60%
Vantagem +0.613%
Kelly +0.803%
Crescimento +0.021%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.24

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.22%24.13%24.20%25.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.503.733.604.2428.57%26.84%27.78%23.58%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 31.67%3.16odd justa
EV -0.238%
Vantagem -0.076%
Kelly -0.111%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.18%31.64%31.87%34.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.352.892.953.1542.55%34.59%33.90%31.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (52 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.71%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.78%EV +2.60%E +0.613%K +0.803%G +0.021%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.52%EV -5.94%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.50%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.787%E -0.192%K -0.254%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 13:59
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.50%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.787%E -0.192%K -0.254%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 14:00
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.39%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -0.787%E -0.192%K -0.254%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38%EV -16.07%E -6.07%K -9.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 13:58
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.22%EV -6.88%E -3.26%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -2.00%E -0.493%K -0.655%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:00
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.21%E -0.802%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 14:00
BetUS2.07I 48.31%NM 44.47%EV -8.65%E -4.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -3.21%E -0.802%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.52%EV -10.37%E -3.67%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.21%E -0.802%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -3.21%E -0.802%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:00
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -3.21%E -0.802%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -17.66%E -6.79%K -11.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 14:00
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.40%EV -3.35%E -1.53%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV -5.63%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.22%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.63%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 13:59
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.35%EV -16.15%E -8.50%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.38%EV -6.84%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.27%EV -15.44%E -5.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-07 13:58
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -8.05%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:00
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -8.05%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:00
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.05%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 13:59
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.05%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 13:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -8.05%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:00
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 42.96%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -8.05%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -17.66%E -6.79%K -11.04%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-07 14:00
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.38%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -8.05%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.75%EV -20.82%E -8.33%K -13.88%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-07 14:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -9.26%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -0.238%E -0.076%K -0.111%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:00
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.47%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.47%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 13:59
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.47%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -10.47%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -1.19%E -0.381%K -0.561%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:00
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 13:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 13:59
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 13:59
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 14:00
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-07 14:00
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.30%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -12.91%E -4.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-07 13:59
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.80%EV -13.50%E -6.89%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 14:00
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 42.80%EV -16.15%E -8.50%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.59%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 34.61%EV -25.57%E -10.88%K -18.94%G +0.000%23.0%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:00
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:00
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 13:57
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:00
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:00
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:00
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -15.31%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 13:59
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.61%EV -8.65%E -4.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -15.31%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 14:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.55%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97%1.1%2026-03-07 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.55%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97%1.1%2026-03-07 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.55%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97%1.1%2026-03-07 14:00
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84%1.5%2026-03-07 14:00
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.53%2.5%2026-03-07 14:00