L’École des cotes

Avellino v Padova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 14:04 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Avellino (Local)

Prévision 44.13%2.27cote équitable
EV -3.35%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -2.82%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.38%44.23%43.93%45.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.082.102.1952.63%48.06%47.62%45.66%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Padova (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.20%4.13cote équitable
EV +2.60%
Avantage +0.613%
Kelly +0.803%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 4.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.22%24.13%24.20%25.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.733.604.2428.57%26.84%27.78%23.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.67%3.16cote équitable
EV -0.238%
Avantage -0.076%
Kelly -0.111%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.18%31.64%31.87%34.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.892.953.1542.55%34.59%33.90%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.71%EV -4.68%E -2.16%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.24I 23.58%NM 22.78%EV +2.60%E +0.613%K +0.803%G +0.021%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.52%EV -5.94%E -2.00%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 13:59
BetOnline.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.50%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.787%E -0.192%K -0.254%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 13:59
LowVig.ag2.14I 46.73%NM 44.50%EV -5.56%E -2.60%K -4.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -0.787%E -0.192%K -0.254%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-07 14:00
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 43.39%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -0.787%E -0.192%K -0.254%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.38%EV -16.07%E -6.07%K -9.74%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 13:58
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 44.22%EV -6.88%E -3.26%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -2.00%E -0.493%K -0.655%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.74%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:00
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%EV -3.21%E -0.802%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 14:00
BetUS2.07I 48.31%NM 44.47%EV -8.65%E -4.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.01%EV -3.21%E -0.802%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.52%EV -10.37%E -3.67%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-07 13:59
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -3.21%E -0.802%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -3.21%E -0.802%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-07 14:00
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.46%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.27%EV -3.21%E -0.802%K -1.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -17.66%E -6.79%K -11.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-07 14:00
Codere (IT)2.19I 45.66%NM 43.40%EV -3.35%E -1.53%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.37%EV -5.63%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.22%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.63%E -1.44%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 13:59
NetBet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 45.35%EV -16.15%E -8.50%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.38%EV -6.84%E -1.78%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 32.27%EV -15.44%E -5.78%K -9.25%G +0.000%16.1%2026-03-07 13:58
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -8.05%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -3.41%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-07 14:00
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -8.05%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 14:00
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.05%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 13:59
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.25%EV -5.12%E -2.38%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.05%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 13:59
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -8.05%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-07 14:00
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 42.96%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.17%EV -8.05%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.87%EV -17.66%E -6.79%K -11.04%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-07 14:00
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 42.38%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.86%EV -8.05%E -2.12%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.75%EV -20.82%E -8.33%K -13.88%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-07 14:00
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -9.26%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -0.238%E -0.076%K -0.111%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 14:00
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.47%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 13:59
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.87%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -10.47%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-07 13:59
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -10.47%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-07 14:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.08%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.37%EV -10.47%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -1.19%E -0.381%K -0.561%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-07 14:00
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 13:59
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 13:59
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-07 13:59
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 13:59
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 14:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -11.32%E -4.04%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-03-07 14:00
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-07 14:00
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.30%EV -11.74%E -5.87%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-07 14:00
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -9.53%E -4.65%K -9.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -12.91%E -4.69%K -7.38%G +0.000%12.9%2026-03-07 13:59
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.80%EV -13.50%E -6.89%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.39%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.81%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-07 14:00
PMU (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 42.80%EV -16.15%E -8.50%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 22.59%EV -12.89%E -3.58%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 34.61%EV -25.57%E -10.88%K -18.94%G +0.000%23.0%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:00
TABtouch2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Grosvenor2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:00
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 13:57
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:00
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:00
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 43.41%EV -6.44%E -3.04%K -5.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-07 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-07 14:00
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:00
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.41%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -14.10%E -3.97%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-07 14:00
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -7.32%E -3.49%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -15.31%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -8.16%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-07 13:59
LeoVegas2.07I 48.31%NM 43.61%EV -8.65%E -4.18%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -15.31%E -4.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.60%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-07 14:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.55%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97%1.1%2026-03-07 14:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.55%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97%1.1%2026-03-07 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.22I 45.05%NM 44.55%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97%1.1%2026-03-07 14:00
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 44.78%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.84%1.5%2026-03-07 14:00
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.77%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.70%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.53%2.5%2026-03-07 14:00