Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.95
assuming max odds 4.33
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Avellino (Local): 49.18%; Bari (Visit): 23.20%; Draw: 27.62%. For Bari (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.33, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.456%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.08%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.21%EV +0.456%E +0.105%K +0.137%G +0.001% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -4.17%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -0.240%E -0.056%K -0.073%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 12:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.00%E -5.46%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -7.05%E -3.73%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -17.15%E -5.72%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -7.05%E -3.73%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.800%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -17.15%E -5.72%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-24 02:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-21 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-24 03:36 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -3.34%E -0.954%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.55%E -3.45%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-21 19:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -10.00%E -5.46%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-24 03:28 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 19:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.36%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 19:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.36%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-21 19:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -11.47%E -6.37%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-23 19:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 00:01 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 00:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 00:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 00:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 00:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 00:01 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 00:01 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 00:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 00:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-20 00:01 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -6.55%E -3.45%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.59%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-20 00:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -8.03%E -4.29%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-21 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-20 00:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-20 00:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-20 00:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -10.00%E -5.46%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 27.72%EV -11.07%E -3.44%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-22 19:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.45%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.08%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 19:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.29%EV -10.49%E -5.76%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-21 19:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -10.00%E -5.46%K -12.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.96%EV -11.47%E -6.37%K -14.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.45%EV -13.93%E -7.96%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.47%EV -13.00%E -4.13%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -10.49%E -5.76%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -14.16%E -3.83%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -13.00%E -4.13%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-20 00:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.76%EV -12.46%E -7.00%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -16.48%E -4.58%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-21 19:50 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.19% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57% | 2.2% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.19% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57% | 2.2% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.19% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57% | 2.2% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.19% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57% | 2.2% | 2026-04-24 03:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.12% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.10% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78% | 2.8% | 2026-04-24 03:05 |