L’École des cotes

Avellino v Bari

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Avellino (Local)

Prévision 49.18%2.03cote équitable
EV -4.09%
Avantage -2.10%
Kelly -4.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.02%49.22%49.17%50.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.751.871.881.9557.14%53.43%53.19%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bari (Visiteur)

Prévision 23.20%4.31cote équitable
EV +0.456%
Avantage +0.105%
Kelly +0.137%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 4.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.63%23.07%23.26%24.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.603.913.854.3327.78%25.55%25.97%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.62%3.62cote équitable
EV -3.34%
Avantage -0.954%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.78%27.71%27.57%30.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.293.303.5033.33%30.37%30.30%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.92I 52.08%NM 50.08%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.21%EV +0.456%E +0.105%K +0.137%G +0.001%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.71%EV -4.17%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.85%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.14%EV -0.240%E -0.056%K -0.073%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-21 12:01
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.39%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.800%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 03:25
Tipico (DE)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -10.00%E -5.46%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.800%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 22:10
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -7.05%E -3.73%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.800%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -17.15%E -5.72%K -8.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-24 02:15
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 48.08%EV -7.05%E -3.73%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.63%EV -2.56%E -0.609%K -0.800%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -17.15%E -5.72%K -8.57%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-24 02:15
Codere (IT)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.39%EV -5.57%E -2.90%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.49%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-21 19:55
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.52%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.41%EV -4.72%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 19:04
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 03:36
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 49.71%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.43%EV -4.88%E -1.19%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.09%E -2.10%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -3.34%E -0.954%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 16:09
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 03:40
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.17%EV -6.55%E -3.45%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-21 19:50
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.11%EV -10.00%E -5.46%K -12.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 16:09
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.43%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-24 03:28
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 19:05
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 19:09
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 19:05
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.22%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.20%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.02%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-23 19:04
NordicBet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.36%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 19:50
Betsson1.88I 53.19%NM 49.09%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.36%EV -8.36%E -2.12%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.55%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-21 19:50
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.74%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.38%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 16:09
PointsBet (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 16:09
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 16:10
Unibet (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 49.62%EV -11.47%E -6.37%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.90%EV -9.52%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.48%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 19:04
TABtouch1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 00:01
Casumo1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 00:00
BetRivers1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 00:00
Unibet (NL)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 00:00
Grosvenor1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 00:00
Unibet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 00:01
Unibet (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 00:01
ATG (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 00:00
Svenska Spel1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 00:00
betPARX1.91I 52.36%NM 48.20%EV -6.06%E -3.17%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-20 00:01
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.33%EV -6.55%E -3.45%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.85%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 16:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.59%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.73%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-20 00:00
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -8.03%E -4.29%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.46%EV -10.68%E -2.77%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.23%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-24 03:25
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.84%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -6.10%E -1.79%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-21 19:35
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 00:00
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 48.23%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 00:00
Paddy Power1.85I 54.05%NM 48.84%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.78%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-23 16:09
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 48.64%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-20 00:00
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.78%EV -10.00%E -5.46%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.84%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 27.72%EV -11.07%E -3.44%K -4.99%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 19:05
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -6.55%E -3.45%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -8.86%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 16:09
Betr (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.08%EV -7.54%E -4.01%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 19:09
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 49.29%EV -10.49%E -5.76%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-21 19:50
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-24 03:40
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-24 03:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -9.01%E -4.87%K -10.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-24 03:40
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.75%EV -10.00%E -5.46%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.79%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.45%EV -10.24%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-23 16:09
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 48.96%EV -11.47%E -6.37%K -14.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.50%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.54%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-24 03:25
NetBet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 49.45%EV -13.93%E -7.96%K -18.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -13.00%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.47%EV -13.00%E -4.13%K -6.05%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 16:10
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 48.32%EV -10.49%E -5.76%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.77%EV -14.16%E -3.83%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -13.00%E -4.13%K -6.05%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-20 00:00
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 48.76%EV -12.46%E -7.00%K -15.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.11%EV -16.48%E -4.58%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.12%EV -11.62%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-21 19:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57%2.2%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57%2.2%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57%2.2%2026-04-24 03:40
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 50.19%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.24%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.57%2.2%2026-04-24 03:40
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.12%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.78%2.8%2026-04-24 03:05