Avellino v Arezzo

2026-08-22 15:00 UTC — Serie B - Italy

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Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

44%

27%

29%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Avellino (Local)

Prediction 43.89%2.28fair odd

EV -5.63%

Edge -2.62%

Kelly -4.90%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.26%43.89%43.98%44.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.932.042.052.1552%49%49%47%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Arezzo (Visit)

Prediction 27.28%3.67fair odd

EV -4.52%

Edge -1.29%

Kelly -1.81%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.11%27.28%27.16%28.54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.953.223.303.5034%31%30%29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 28.83%3.47fair odd

EV -4.87%

Edge -1.48%

Kelly -2.12%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.04%28.83%28.86%28.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.983.123.103.3034%32%32%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Coolbet	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -5.63%E -2.62%K -4.90%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -4.52%E -1.29%K -1.81%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.87%E -1.48%K -2.12%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-24 10:09
Betsson	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -6.95%E -3.28%K -6.20%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-24 10:09
NordicBet	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.57%EV -6.95%E -3.28%K -6.20%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.57%EV -8.61%E -2.57%K -3.66%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-24 10:10
FanDuel	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.11%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.24%E -2.13%K -3.02%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-24 10:09
SportsBet	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.62%EV -7.83%E -3.73%K -7.11%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.76%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -7.76%E -2.42%K -3.53%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-07-24 10:10
Paddy Power	2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -10.02%E -4.89%K -9.54%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -9.97%E -3.02%K -4.34%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%	11.3%	2026-07-24 10:09
Winamax (DE)	2.00I 50.00%NM 43.46%EV -12.21%E -6.11%K -12.21%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 28.50%EV -16.79%E -5.51%K -8.19%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -10.64%E -3.43%K -5.07%G +0.000%	15.0%	2026-07-24 10:08
Sky Bet	2.00I 50.00%NM 43.26%EV -12.21%E -6.11%K -12.21%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 27.91%EV -15.43%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.84%EV -13.52%E -4.51%K -6.76%G +0.000%	15.6%	2026-07-24 10:10
Unibet (FR)	1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%EV -14.41%E -7.39%K -15.17%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 27.60%EV -15.43%E -4.98%K -7.35%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.52%EV -13.52%E -4.51%K -6.76%G +0.000%	16.9%	2026-07-24 10:10
Winamax (FR)	1.94I 51.55%NM 43.40%EV -14.85%E -7.65%K -15.80%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 28.54%EV -19.52%E -6.62%K -10.01%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.06%EV -13.52%E -4.51%K -6.76%G +0.000%	18.8%	2026-07-24 10:09
Betclic (FR)	1.93I 51.81%NM 43.93%EV -15.29%E -7.92%K -16.44%G +0.000%	3.07I 32.57%NM 27.62%EV -16.25%E -5.29%K -7.85%G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56%NM 28.45%EV -14.10%E -4.73%K -7.12%G +0.000%	17.9%	2026-07-24 10:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.