Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.25
assuming max odds 3.79
assuming max odds 3.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Avellino (Local): 42.90%; Arezzo (Visit): 27.18%; Draw: 29.92%. For Arezzo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.68. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.79, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.01%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.95%EV -6.05%E -2.76%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.79I 26.39%NM 25.40%EV +3.01%E +0.795%K +1.08%G +0.033% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.65%EV -6.05%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV +0.567%E +0.153%K +0.210%G +0.001% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-22 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.15%E -0.598%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -2.15%E -0.598%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -13.23%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -12.06%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -2.15%E -0.598%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-22 13:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -2.15%E -0.598%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -13.83%E -4.80%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -3.24%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -6.65%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.51%E -0.989%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.51%E -0.989%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.51%E -0.989%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 13:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.51%E -0.989%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 14:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.07%EV -5.19%E -2.35%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -4.26%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 12:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-22 13:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.80%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.29%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 15:03 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -2.76%E -0.849%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 11:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.26%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 15:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-22 13:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 14:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 14:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 14:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 14:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 14:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 14:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 14:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 14:08 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-22 13:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 13:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 13:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 12:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -6.65%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -6.65%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -12.06%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-01 09:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -12.06%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-22 15:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -12.06%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -13.23%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-08-22 13:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 43.85%EV -15.06%E -7.61%K -15.37%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.72%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.43%EV -11.74%E -3.98%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-08-22 15:09 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 21:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.26%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 13:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-22 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.43%EV -6.91%E -3.18%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.48%EV -11.74%E -3.98%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-21 14:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-22 15:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -14.38%E -4.57%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 14:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -14.38%E -4.57%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -11.74%E -3.98%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-21 14:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -14.38%E -4.57%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -13.23%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-21 14:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -14.38%E -4.57%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -13.23%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-08-21 14:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 41.47%EV -11.63%E -5.64%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.01%EV -17.10%E -5.61%K -8.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.51%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-08-21 14:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.32% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36% | 1.2% | 2026-08-22 14:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.68% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.68% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34% | 1.3% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.89% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21% | 1.7% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.61% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.37% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.01% | 2.4% | 2026-08-22 15:20 |