Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Avellino v Arezzo

Início: 2026-08-22 19:00 UTC

Final: Avellino 1–2 Arezzo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Avellino (Local)

Previsão 42.90%2.33odd justa
EV -3.48%
Vantagem -1.54%
Kelly -2.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.33%42.93%42.90%44.83%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.982.162.172.2550.51%46.21%45.98%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arezzo (Visitante)

Previsão 27.18%3.68odd justa
EV +3.01%
Vantagem +0.795%
Kelly +1.08%
Crescimento +0.033%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.23%27.12%27.16%28.86%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.053.363.353.7932.79%29.76%29.85%26.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 29.92%3.34odd justa
EV -2.76%
Vantagem -0.849%
Kelly -1.23%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.67%29.95%29.94%31.91%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.803.043.053.2535.71%32.84%32.79%30.77%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Avellino (Local): 42.90%; Arezzo (Visitante): 27.18%; Empate: 29.92%. Para Arezzo (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.68. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.79, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.01%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.95%EV -6.05%E -2.76%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.40%EV +3.01%E +0.795%K +1.08%G +0.033%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.65%EV -6.05%E -1.93%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-22 15:05
FanDuel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV +0.567%E +0.153%K +0.210%G +0.001%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 14:00
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.44%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -2.15%E -0.598%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 15:04
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -2.15%E -0.598%K -0.827%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -13.23%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 13:59
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.83%EV -12.06%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -2.15%E -0.598%K -0.827%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-22 13:34
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.23%EV -2.15%E -0.598%K -0.827%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.53%EV -13.83%E -4.80%K -7.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.96%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.18%EV -3.24%E -0.910%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -6.65%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 15:00
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -3.51%E -0.989%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -5.75%E -1.83%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 15:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.51%E -0.989%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 13:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.51%E -0.989%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 13:30
BetUS🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -6.48%E -2.97%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -3.51%E -0.989%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 14:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.07%EV -5.19%E -2.35%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.19%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.74%EV -4.26%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 15:05
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-22 12:20
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -4.87%E -1.39%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-22 13:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.80%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.91%EV -6.23%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.29%EV -5.15%E -1.63%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 15:03
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.48%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.41%EV -2.76%E -0.849%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-22 14:04
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.26%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 15:05
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-22 13:29
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 15:00
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.13%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -7.59%E -2.23%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.98%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-22 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 14:09
ATG (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 14:10
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 14:10
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 14:10
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 14:09
Unibet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 14:09
betPARX🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -3.48%E -1.54%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-21 14:08
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -9.05%E -4.27%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -8.95%E -2.67%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-22 13:29
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 13:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 12:25
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 13:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 12:19
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -6.65%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 15:04
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.14%EV -6.65%E -2.13%K -3.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.81%EV -12.06%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.22%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.97%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 09:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.39%EV -12.06%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.65%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-22 15:04
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.95%EV -12.06%E -5.88%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.68%EV -10.31%E -3.12%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.36%EV -13.23%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%13.6%2026-08-22 13:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.36%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.74%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-22 14:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-22 15:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 43.85%EV -15.06%E -7.61%K -15.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.72%EV -11.66%E -3.59%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.43%EV -11.74%E -3.98%K -6.02%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-22 15:09
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-21 21:24
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.25%E -2.34%K -3.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 14:04
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -4.26%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-18 16:15
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 13:29
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 13:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.24%E -3.41%K -5.12%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-22 13:30
BetRivers🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.43%EV -6.91%E -3.18%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.48%EV -11.74%E -3.98%K -6.02%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-21 14:09
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.65%EV -9.91%E -4.72%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99%EV -13.02%E -4.07%K -5.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.36%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -5.62%E -2.55%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -14.38%E -4.57%K -6.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -8.74%E -2.87%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.47%EV -7.77%E -3.61%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.31%EV -14.38%E -4.57%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.22%EV -11.74%E -3.98%K -6.02%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-21 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -14.38%E -4.57%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -13.23%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.37%EV -8.19%E -3.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -14.38%E -4.57%K -6.69%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.53%EV -13.23%E -4.56%K -6.96%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-21 14:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 41.47%EV -11.63%E -5.64%K -10.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.01%EV -17.10%E -5.61%K -8.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.51%EV -16.22%E -5.79%K -9.01%G +0.000%17.0%2026-08-21 14:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.33%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.36%1.2%2026-08-22 14:00
Smarkets2.26I 44.25%NM 43.68%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.26I 44.25%NM 43.68%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.99%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.34%1.3%2026-08-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.89%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.21%1.7%2026-08-22 15:20
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 43.61%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.37%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.01%2.4%2026-08-22 15:20