La scuola delle quoteodds.school
Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Arezzo v Südtirol

Inizio: 2026-09-20 13:05 UTC

Finale: Arezzo 1–4 Südtirol

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

56 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Arezzo (Casa)

Previsione 40.96%2.44quota equa
EV -3.74%
Vantaggio -1.59%
Kelly -2.77%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.35

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.08%40.91%41.00%42.46%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.252.252.3550.00%44.48%44.44%42.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Südtirol (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.42%3.52quota equa
EV +0.620%
Vantaggio +0.175%
Kelly +0.244%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.54

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.64%28.35%28.53%29.88%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.243.233.5433.33%30.90%31.01%28.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 30.62%3.27quota equa
EV -2.03%
Vantaggio -0.634%
Kelly -0.923%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.95%30.74%30.47%32.65%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.752.983.003.2036.36%33.61%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Arezzo (Casa): 40.96%; Südtirol (Trasferta): 28.42%; Pareggio: 30.62%. Per Südtirol (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.52. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.54, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.620%.

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.83%EV -5.38%E -2.33%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.64%EV +0.620%E +0.175%K +0.244%G +0.002%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.52%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 13:04
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.29%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.05%EV -0.517%E -0.148%K -0.207%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 12:58
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.55%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.11%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.34%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 12:34
1xBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 12:47
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 13:03
LowVig.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.26%EV -4.15%E -1.77%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.04%EV -9.99%E -3.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 12:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.26%EV -4.15%E -1.77%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.04%EV -9.99%E -3.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 12:34
BetUS🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.26%EV -4.15%E -1.77%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.04%EV -9.99%E -3.40%K -5.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 12:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.33%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.31%EV -9.07%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 12:59
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -3.36%E -0.988%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -14.28%E -5.10%K -7.93%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 12:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.56%E -1.96%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.71%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-20 10:59
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.46%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.78%E -1.43%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -3.56%E -1.13%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-20 13:02
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 10:59
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-20 10:59
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 07:54
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 07:54
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 07:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 07:54
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 07:54
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 07:54
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 07:54
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 07:54
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.01%EV -6.61%E -2.90%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.66%EV -6.62%E -2.17%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-20 07:54
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 12:59
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -6.20%E -1.88%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -14.28%E -5.10%K -7.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-20 12:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.62%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 12:34
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -7.62%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-20 13:04
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -7.62%E -2.35%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -15.81%E -5.75%K -9.03%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-20 12:59
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.09%E -1.64%K -2.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 13:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -3.74%E -1.59%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -12.75%E -4.47%K -6.89%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-20 09:14
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-19 22:39
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-20 08:39
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 10:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 10:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -5.79%E -2.52%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 10:24
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 11:00
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.55%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.51%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-20 10:59
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.12%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -12.75%E -4.47%K -6.89%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 11:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -11.93%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.04%E -2.83%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-20 13:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -9.68%E -3.28%K -4.97%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 12:29
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 07:54
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 07:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.43%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.88%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-20 07:54
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.83%EV -10.71%E -4.91%K -9.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.26%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.91%EV -11.83%E -4.11%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 07:54
NetBet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.90%EV -11.93%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.92%EV -10.47%E -3.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.18%EV -13.66%E -4.85%K -7.51%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-20 12:59
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -11.32%E -3.63%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 12:55
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.47%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -11.32%E -3.63%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-20 12:52
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.84%E -3.48%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -11.89%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -2.03%E -0.634%K -0.923%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-18 04:24
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -11.93%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -11.89%E -3.83%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-20 12:57
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.30%EV -11.93%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.11%EV -13.31%E -4.36%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.59%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-20 10:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.88%EV -11.93%E -5.55%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.82%EV -13.31%E -4.36%K -6.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.31%EV -11.21%E -3.87%K -5.90%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-20 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.73%E -4.91%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 04:25
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.73%E -4.91%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 04:24
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.89%E -4.49%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -14.73%E -4.91%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -8.15%E -2.72%K -4.08%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-18 04:24
PMU (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.59%EV -13.98%E -6.66%K -12.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.41%EV -14.73%E -4.91%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.00%EV -15.81%E -5.75%K -9.03%G +0.000%17.3%2026-09-20 07:54
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.22%EV -18.08%E -9.04%K -18.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.15%EV -14.73%E -4.91%K -7.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 29.63%EV -12.75%E -4.47%K -6.89%G +0.000%18.4%2026-09-20 12:49
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%0.5%2026-09-20 12:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.46%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.90%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64%0.5%2026-09-20 12:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.24%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.76%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.00%1.0%2026-09-20 13:04
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.75%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.86%1.4%2026-09-20 13:05
Smarkets◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.49%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.85%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.66%2.1%2026-09-20 12:54