Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Venezia v Lazio

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 18:45 UTC

Final: Venezia 0–2 Lazio

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (23 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Venezia (Local)

Prediction 25.24%3.96fair odd
EV +6.01%
Edge +1.43%
Kelly +1.88%
Growth +0.113%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.86%25.22%25.12%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.763.754.2030.30%26.60%26.67%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lazio (Visit)

Prediction 47.77%2.09fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -1.98%
Kelly -3.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.57%47.79%47.85%50.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.951.952.0153.48%51.20%51.28%49.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.99%3.70fair odd
EV -0.128%
Edge -0.035%
Kelly -0.047%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.66%26.98%27.03%27.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.503.503.7030.30%28.60%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Venezia (Local): 25.24%; Lazio (Visit): 47.77%; Draw: 26.99%. For Venezia (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.96. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.86%EV +6.01%E +1.43%K +1.88%G +0.113%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.01%EV -8.29%E -4.32%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.13%EV -4.45%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.05%EV +0.962%E +0.240%K +0.321%G +0.003%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.59%EV -7.33%E -3.78%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -1.48%E -0.405%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.05%EV +0.962%E +0.240%K +0.321%G +0.003%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.59%EV -7.33%E -3.78%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -1.48%E -0.405%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.05%EV +0.962%E +0.240%K +0.321%G +0.003%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.59%EV -7.33%E -3.78%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -1.48%E -0.405%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.05%EV +0.962%E +0.240%K +0.321%G +0.003%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.59%EV -7.33%E -3.78%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.36%EV -1.48%E -0.405%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-19 18:40
Pinnacle🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 24.50%EV +0.205%E +0.052%K +0.069%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.40%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 27.10%EV -3.10%E -0.863%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-19 18:30
Coolbet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%EV -0.300%E -0.076%K -0.102%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.50%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.94%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-19 18:27
Grosvenor🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -0.300%E -0.076%K -0.102%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -8.29%E -4.32%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.68%EV -4.18%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.64%EV -1.06%E -0.270%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.53%EV -4.94%E -2.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.64%EV -1.06%E -0.270%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.53%EV -4.94%E -2.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 17:40
BetAnything🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.64%EV -1.06%E -0.270%K -0.362%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.53%EV -4.94%E -2.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.5%2026-09-19 17:40
SportsBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.39%EV -1.56%E -0.401%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.04%EV -5.42%E -2.74%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.57%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-19 18:29
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%EV -1.56%E -0.401%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.87%EV -7.81%E -4.05%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.95%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-19 18:35
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -1.56%E -0.401%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 18:27
BetRivers🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -1.56%E -0.401%K -0.539%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.03%EV -10.68%E -5.71%K -12.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-19 18:15
Marathon Bet🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.64%EV -2.07%E -0.533%K -0.718%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -4.94%E -2.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.32%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-19 18:40
GTbets🎯3.87I 25.84%NM 25.02%EV -2.32%E -0.599%K -0.808%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.17%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.82%EV -2.56%E -0.708%K -0.980%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-19 18:20
BetUS🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.94%EV -2.82%E -0.734%K -0.991%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.01%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.05%EV -4.18%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-19 18:39
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -2.82%E -0.734%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.24%EV -9.72%E -5.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:40
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -2.82%E -0.734%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.24%EV -9.72%E -5.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:40
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.17%EV -2.82%E -0.734%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.24%EV -9.72%E -5.14%K -10.92%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-19 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.05%EV -2.82%E -0.734%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.73%EV -9.24%E -4.86%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.23%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 18:40
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.09%EV -4.09%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.67%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.24%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-19 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.09%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 18:40
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.09%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 18:39
Sky Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.09%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-19 18:27
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.09%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-19 18:30
TAB🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -4.09%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.31%EV -8.29%E -4.32%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 18:39
Virgin Bet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -4.09%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.24%E -4.86%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-19 18:40
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -4.09%E -1.08%K -1.46%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.03%EV -10.20%E -5.42%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 18:40
Betsson🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.44%EV -5.35%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.69%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.87%EV -4.18%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-19 18:40
Everygame🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.24%EV -5.35%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-19 18:39
Neds🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.35%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:27
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.35%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:27
Coral🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.35%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:27
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.35%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:27
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.35%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:27
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -5.35%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -8.76%E -4.59%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 18:39
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -5.35%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -10.20%E -5.42%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 18:40
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -5.35%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -10.20%E -5.42%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 18:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.50%EV -5.35%E -1.43%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.87%EV -10.20%E -5.42%K -11.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-19 18:40
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -6.61%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.66%EV -0.128%E -0.035%K -0.047%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 18:15
Bet Victor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -6.61%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-19 18:40
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -6.61%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -5.42%E -2.74%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-19 18:40
Caesars🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.00%EV -6.61%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.18%EV -8.29%E -4.32%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.81%EV -6.88%E -1.99%K -2.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 18:39
888sport🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.61%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.61%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.61%E -1.79%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-19 18:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -7.87%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -3.99%E -1.98%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -4.18%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-19 18:40
PlayUp🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.35%EV -7.87%E -2.16%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-19 18:40
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 18:14
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-19 18:14
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 18:35
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 18:34
Winamax (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.38%E -3.25%K -6.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-19 18:39
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -9.13%E -2.54%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-19 18:35
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -10.40%E -2.93%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -4.18%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-19 18:40
NetBet (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.12%EV -10.40%E -2.93%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.60%EV -4.94%E -2.48%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-19 18:40
LeoVegas🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.08%EV -10.40%E -2.93%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.47%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.45%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-19 18:39
Winamax (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.01%EV -10.40%E -2.93%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.60%EV -7.33%E -3.78%K -7.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.38%EV -5.53%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-19 18:40
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -11.66%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -2.83%E -0.785%K -1.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-19 18:38
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.66%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -6.85%E -3.51%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.93%E -3.31%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-19 18:39
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.66%E -3.33%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -9.24%E -4.86%K -10.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-19 18:39
Betclic (FR)🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.34%EV -12.16%E -3.50%K -4.90%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.53%EV -5.90%E -2.99%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.12%EV -8.77%E -2.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-19 18:38
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -16.71%E -5.06%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -4.47%E -2.23%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -8.23%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-19 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.78%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.48%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.74%0.1%2026-09-19 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-09-19 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-09-19 18:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.22%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.20%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.58%0.7%2026-09-19 18:40
Smarkets◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.45%1.2%2026-09-19 18:40
Kalshi◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.45%2.0%2026-09-19 18:40