The School of Odds
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Venezia v Lazio

2026-09-19 18:45 UTC — Serie A - Italy

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Venezia (Local)

Prediction 39.59%2.53fair odd
EV -0.230%
Edge -0.091%
Kelly -0.151%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.75%39.68%39.55%41.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.342.352.5246.51%42.67%42.55%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lazio (Visit)

Prediction 31.73%3.15fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.526%
Kelly -0.777%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.41%31.69%31.74%33.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.902.893.1037.74%34.53%34.60%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.68%3.49fair odd
EV +0.369%
Edge +0.105%
Kelly +0.148%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.90%28.64%28.71%30.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.323.383.5032.79%30.15%29.63%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Venezia (Local): 39.59%; Lazio (Visit): 31.73%; Draw: 28.68%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.49. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.50, producing a positive expected value of +0.369%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.98%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -11.15%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV +0.369%E +0.105%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.0%2026-09-06 18:10
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -4.98%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -11.15%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV +0.369%E +0.105%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.0%2026-09-06 18:10
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.06%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.04%EV -9.56%E -3.36%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV +0.369%E +0.105%K +0.148%G +0.001%6.2%2026-09-06 18:10
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -10.92%E -4.85%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.22%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -1.07%E -0.309%K -0.435%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 19:15
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.84%EV -10.92%E -4.85%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -3.22%E -1.05%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.29%EV -1.07%E -0.309%K -0.435%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 19:19
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 39.09%EV -0.230%E -0.091%K -0.151%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 32.19%EV -2.90%E -0.948%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.72%EV -1.64%E -0.478%K -0.674%G +0.000%1.5%2026-09-06 19:25
Coral🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.98%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -7.98%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.50%E -0.735%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 19:15
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -4.98%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -7.98%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -2.50%E -0.735%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.64%EV -6.17%E -2.60%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.73%EV -8.93%E -3.11%K -4.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.50%E -0.735%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 19:15
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.56%E -3.36%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -2.50%E -0.735%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.75%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -9.56%E -3.36%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.47%EV -2.50%E -0.735%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 19:15
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.22%EV -5.77%E -2.43%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.15%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.45%EV -2.50%E -0.735%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 18:14
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -11.15%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -2.50%E -0.735%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 18:10
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -8.94%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -12.74%E -4.63%K -7.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -2.50%E -0.735%K -1.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.11%EV -2.61%E -1.06%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.18%EV -5.12%E -1.71%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.93%E -1.17%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-06 19:20
Codere (IT)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.27%EV -3.79%E -1.56%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -4.80%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.92%EV -5.37%E -1.63%K -2.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-06 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.77%EV -8.94%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.09%EV -9.56%E -3.36%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.14%EV -6.80%E -2.09%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 18:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.12%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -1.63%E -0.526%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-06 18:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.99%EV -5.77%E -2.43%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -7.98%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-06 18:10
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.08%EV -6.96%E -2.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.22%EV -9.56%E -3.36%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 18:10
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.94%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.98%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 19:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.94%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.98%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 19:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.94%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.98%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 19:10
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -8.94%E -3.89%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -7.98%E -2.75%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 19:08
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.22%EV -14.88%E -6.92%K -12.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -9.56%E -3.36%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.69%EV -8.23%E -2.57%K -3.74%G +0.000%12.8%2026-09-06 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.86%EV -9.73%E -4.27%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.56%EV -8.61%E -2.99%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.58%EV -8.81%E -2.77%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 18:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -3.00%E -1.23%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -1.63%E -0.526%K -0.777%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.63%EV -11.10%E -3.58%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 19:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.19%EV -12.90%E -5.86%K -10.75%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.54%EV -15.91%E -6.00%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.27%EV -12.54%E -4.11%K -6.12%G +0.000%16.0%2026-09-06 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.38I 42.02%NM 37.86%2.78I 35.97%NM 32.41%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.74%11.0%2026-09-06 19:25